The Indiana Pacers (30-24) face the Charlotte Hornets (11-41) on February 12, 2024 at Spectrum Center. The Hornets are underdogs by a 10-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games. The matchup’s point total is set at 239.
Our computer predictions below will help you pick what are the best bets available for Monday’s game.
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Spread: Pacers (-10) to Cover
- Both DraftKings and the model expect the Pacers to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (10.8) is 0.8 points further in their direction.
- So far this season, Indiana has put together a 29-22-3 record against the spread.
- The Pacers have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 10-point favorites.
- Charlotte’s ATS record is 18-33-1 this year.
- When playing as at least 10-point underdogs this year, the Hornets have an ATS record of 8-12.
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Total: Under 239
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (237.3 points) slightly lower than the DraftKings over/under (239 points).
- Indiana’s games have had more than 239 points scored on 32 occasions this season.
- Charlotte’s games have finished with over 239 points scored 20 times this season.
- The Pacers and their opponents have combined to hit the over 30 out of 54 times this season.
- The Hornets and their opponents have combined to hit the over 28 out of 52 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Pacers (-485)
- Prediction: Pacers 124, Hornets 113
- Indiana has won 15, or 62.5%, of the 24 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Charlotte has been victorious in nine, or 18.8%, of the 48 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Myles Turner Points Prop: Over 17.5
- Myles Turner puts up 17.1 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 1.7 blocks (10th in NBA).
- The 17.5-point prop bet for Turner on Monday is 0.4 higher than his scoring average on the season (17.1).
- Turner has hit the points prop over at a 26-for-53 clip this season.
- On offense, the Hornets are the third-worst team in the NBA (108.3 points per game). On defense, they are 25th (120.1 points conceded per game).
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Brandon Miller Points Prop: Over 21.5
- The Hornets are getting 16.5 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Brandon Miller this season.
- Miller’s 16.5 points per game average is 5.0 less than Monday’s over/under.
- He is 20-for-46 at going over his points prop total this season.
- Although the Pacers are allowing 122.4 points per game (third-worst in NBA) on defense, their offense has been excellent, as they rank best in the league by posting 124.1 points per game.
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