In a contest featuring one of the struggling teams in the NBA, the Washington Wizards (9-43) face the Dallas Mavericks (30-23) at American Airlines Center on February 12, 2024. The Wizards have lost six in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 11.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 247.5.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Monday’s game.
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Spread: Mavericks (-11.5) to Cover
- The Mavericks are the bet in this contest. They’re favored by 3.6 more points in the model than DraftKings (15.1 to 11.5).
- Dallas is 28-25-0 against the spread this season.
- The Mavericks have been favored by 11.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
- So far this season, Washington has put together a 24-27-1 record against the spread.
- The Wizards have covered the spread seven times this season (7-1 ATS) when playing as at least 11.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Under 247.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (237.7 points) significantly lower than the DraftKings over/under (247.5 points). Bet on the under.
- Dallas’ games have finished with more than 247.5 points 11 times so far this season.
- So far this year, 17 Washington’s games have featured more than 247.5 points scored.
- In the Mavericks’ 53 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 27 times.
- The Wizards and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 24 out of 52 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-700)
- Prediction: Mavericks 126, Wizards 111
- This season, Dallas has won 20 out of the 28 games, or 71.4%, in which it has been favored.
- Washington has come away with nine wins in the 49 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Luka Doncic Points Prop: Over 32.5
- Luka Doncic puts up 34.5 points, 8.8 rebounds and 9.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals (eighth in league) and 0.6 blocks.
- Monday’s points prop bet for Doncic is 32.5 points. That is 2.0 fewer than his season average of 34.5.
- In 49 games this season with a points prop total, Doncic has hit the over 27 times.
- On offense the Wizards are the 17th-ranked team in the league (114.8 points per game). Defensively they are the worst (123.9 points allowed per game).
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