The Atlanta Hawks (23-29) take the court against the Houston Rockets (23-28) as 7-point favorites on Saturday, February 10, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET on BSSE. The point total is 240.5 for the matchup.
Keep reading for the best bets you can place on Saturday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Rockets (+7) to Cover
- While DraftKings has the Hawks winning by seven, the model has the Rockets taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (7.5 points). Take the Rockets.
- Houston has gone 26-23-2 ATS this season.
- The Rockets are 7-5-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
- Atlanta has a 16-36-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Hawks have covered the spread twice when favored by 7 points or more this season (in six opportunities).
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Total: Under 240.5
- The model predicts a total 4.7 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Atlanta’s games have had more than 240.5 points scored on 29 occasions this year.
- So far this season, 17 Houston’s games have featured more than 240.5 points scored.
- A total of 29 out of the Hawks’ 52 games this season have hit the over.
- So far this year, 24 out of the Rockets’ 51 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Rockets (+220)
- Prediction: Rockets 119, Hawks 118
- Atlanta has entered the game as favorites 27 times this season and won 16, or 59.3%, of those games.
- Houston has come away with 10 wins in the 34 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jalen Green Points Prop: Over 24.5
- On a per-game basis, Jalen Green gives the Rockets 18.2 points, 4.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
- Saturday’s over/under for Green is 24.5 points. That’s 6.3 more than his season average of 18.2.
- He has hit the over 21 times on a points prop this season (in 52 tries).
- Because of the Hawks’ defensive struggles this year, ranking second-worst in the NBA with 123.9 points allowed per game, they’ve been forced to lean on their offense, which ranks third-best in the league putting 121.7 points per game.
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