The Oklahoma City Thunder (35-16) face the Dallas Mavericks (29-23) on February 10, 2024 at American Airlines Center. The Thunder are favorites, by two points, in a contest featuring a pair of the best players in the league, the Thunder’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic. The matchup’s point total is set at 239.
Our computer predictions for Saturday’s game can help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Thunder (-2) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Thunder favored by two, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (3.1 points).
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 31-19-1 record against the spread.
- The Thunder are 19-13 ATS this season when playing as at least 2-point favorites.
- Dallas has a 27-25-0 record against the spread this year.
- When playing as at least 2-point underdogs this season, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 8-13.
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Total: Under 239
- The model predicts a total 3.9 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- In 23 games this year, Oklahoma City and its opponent have combined for more than 239 points.
- So far this season, 25 Dallas’ games have featured over 239 points scored.
- In the Thunder’s 51 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 28 times.
- So far this season, 26 out of the Mavericks’ 52 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-125)
- Prediction: Thunder 119, Mavericks 116
- Oklahoma City has won 26, or 74.3%, of the 35 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Dallas has been an underdog in 23 games this season and has come away with the win eight times (34.8%) in those contests.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 31.1 points, 6.6 assists and 5.6 rebounds per contest.
- He has averaged 0.1 more rebounds per game (5.6) than his prop bet total in Saturday’s game (5.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 24 of his 51 games with a prop this season.
- The Mavericks are 25th in the league in rebounds per game (41.5) and fourth-worst in rebounds allowed (45.6).
Check out all available player props for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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