The Golden State Warriors (22-25) are favorites, by 1.5 points, versus the Philadelphia 76ers (30-19) on February 7, 2024 at Wells Fargo Center. It’s a contest featuring one of the top shooting teams in the NBA versus one of the best defending against the 3-pointer. The Warriors are fourth in the league in triples made per game (14.8) while the 76ers are fourth in 3’s conceded (11.5). The matchup has an over/under of 236.5.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Wednesday’s game.
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Spread: 76ers (+1.5) to Cover
- While DraftKings has the Warriors winning by 1.5, the model has the 76ers taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (6.2 points). Take the 76ers.
- Philadelphia is 29-20-0 against the spread this season.
- The 76ers have an ATS record of 6-5 when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs this year.
- Golden State has a 22-23-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Warriors are 10-16 ATS this season when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
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Total: Under 236.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (234.6 points) marginally lower than the DraftKings over/under (236.5 points).
- A total of 20 times so far this year, Golden State and its opponent have combined for more than 236.5 points.
- There have been 21 Philadelphia’s games this year with more than 236.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 28 out of the Warriors’ 47 games have hit the over.
- In the 76ers’ 49 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 30 times.
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Moneyline Winner: 76ers (-102)
- Prediction: 76ers 120, Warriors 115
- Golden State has won 18, or 64.3%, of the 28 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Philadelphia has won in three, or 21.4%, of the 14 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Klay Thompson Points Prop: Under 16.5
- Klay Thompson averages 17.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- Wednesday’s points prop for Thompson is 16.5. That is 0.6 less than his season average.
- Thompson has hit the over on his points prop total 20 times this season out of 49 games with such a prop.
- Offensively the 76ers are the sixth-ranked squad in the league (118.8 points per game). Defensively they are 14th (113.4 points allowed per game).
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Tobias Harris Points Prop: Over 22.5
- On a per-game basis, Tobias Harris gives the 76ers 17.9 points, 6.0 rebounds and 3.3 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.5 blocked shots.
- The 22.5 point total set for Harris on Wednesday is 4.6 more than his scoring average on the season (17.9).
- So far this season, Harris is 22-for-48 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- With 118.7 points per game on offense, the Warriors rank eighth in the NBA. Defensively, they cede 118.4 points per contest, which ranks 22nd in the league.
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