In a game featuring one of the sputtering squads in the NBA, the Washington Wizards (8-37) battle the San Antonio Spurs (10-36) at AT&T Center on January 29, 2024. The Wizards are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by four points. The matchup has an over/under set at 241.5 points.
Dig into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) for Monday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the contest.
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Spread: Spurs (-4) to Cover
- Both DraftKings and the model expect the Spurs to walk away with the win, but the model spread (5.7) is 1.7 points further in their direction.
- San Antonio’s ATS record is 23-23-0 this season.
- The Spurs have been favored by 4 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- Washington’s ATS record is 21-23-1 this year.
- When playing as at least 4-point underdogs this year, the Wizards have an ATS record of 17-20-1.
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Total: Under 241.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (236.8 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (241.5 points).
- San Antonio and its opponent have broken the 241.5-point mark 18 times this season.
- So far this season, 21 Washington’s games have featured over 241.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 26 out of the Spurs’ 46 games have gone over the point total.
- Wizards games have gone over the point total 22 out of 45 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Spurs (-166)
- Prediction: Spurs 121, Wizards 116
- San Antonio has been favored in four games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
- Washington has won in eight, or 19%, of the 42 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Keldon Johnson Points Prop: Over 16.5
- Keldon Johnson puts up 16.7 points, 5.9 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game, shooting 45.1% from the floor and 33.6% from downtown with 1.8 made treys per contest.
- Monday’s points prop for Johnson is 16.5. That’s 0.2 less than his season average.
- This season, Johnson has scored beyond the points prop number in 17 of 41 games with a set total.
- The Wizards are 16th in the league in points scored (115.1 per game) and worst in points allowed (124.2).
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Tyus Jones Rebounds Prop: Over 2.5
- Tyus Jones is averaging 12.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. He’s making 50.2% of his shots from the field and 41.4% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per contest.
- He has grabbed 2.9 rebounds per game, 0.4 more than his prop bet for Monday’s game (2.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 19 of his 46 games with a prop this season.
- The Spurs rank 19th in the NBA with 43.2 boards per game, but they are giving up 46.2 rebounds per game, which ranks second-worst in the league.
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