In a contest featuring one of the sputtering teams in the NBA, the Washington Wizards (7-36) battle the Utah Jazz (22-23) at Capital One Arena on January 25, 2024. The Wizards have lost five in a row and are 1-9 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 7.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 246.
If you are trying to gain an edge on Thursday’s game, find out the best bets available for this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).
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Spread: Wizards (+7.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.5 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Washington has a 20-22-1 record against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs this season, the Wizards have an ATS record of 13-12-1.
- Utah has a 27-18-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Jazz have not covered the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
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Total: Under 246
- The model projects a total (238.4 points) much lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game (246 points). Take the under.
- Utah’s games have finished with more than 246 points 13 times so far this year.
- Washington’s games have gone over 246 points on 20 occasions this year.
- A total of 25 out of the Jazz’s 45 games this season have gone over the point total.
- A total of 22 Wizards games this season have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Jazz (-278)
- Prediction: Jazz 123, Wizards 116
- Utah has won eight of the nine games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Washington has been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and has walked away with the win seven times (17.5%) in those games.
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John Collins Points Prop: Over 12.5
- John Collins puts up 13.8 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.0 assists per contest, shooting 49.9% from the floor and 35.6% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.
- The 12.5-point over/under set for Collins on Thursday is 1.3 lower than his scoring average of 13.8.
- He has hit the over on his points prop on 23 occasions this season (in 41 games with such a prop).
- The Wizards are 15th in the league in points scored (115.2 per game) and worst in points allowed (124.7).
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Kyle Kuzma Points Prop: Over 20.5
- Kyle Kuzma generates 21.7 points, 6.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game for the Wizards.
- The 20.5-point over/under set for Kuzma on Thursday is 1.2 lower than his scoring average of 21.7.
- Kuzma has gone over 21 times on a points prop this season (in 44 opportunities).
- The Jazz are putting up 117.4 points per game (12th-ranked in NBA) this season, while surrendering 119.5 points per contest (23rd-ranked).
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