The New Orleans Pelicans (26-18) are favored, by two points, versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (31-13) on January 26, 2024 at Smoothie King Center. The Thunder are flying, having won four in a row and going 8-2 in their past 10 games, yet are still the underdogs. The matchup’s point total is set at 240.5.
Dive into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Friday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Thunder (+2) to Cover
- The spread for this game suggested by the model (0.1 points) is a little tighter than the 2-point edge DraftKings gives to the Pelicans, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- So far this year, Oklahoma City has compiled a 29-14-1 record against the spread.
- The Thunder have been an underdog by 2 points or more 13 times this year, and covered the spread in nine of those games.
- So far this season, New Orleans has put together a 25-18-1 record against the spread.
- The Pelicans have an ATS record of 13-11 when playing as at least 2-point favorites this season.
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Total: Under 240.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (232.8 points) substantially lower than the DraftKings over/under (240.5 points). Bet on the under.
- New Orleans’ games have finished with more than 240.5 points 13 times so far this year.
- Oklahoma City’s games have had over 240.5 points 20 times this year.
- In the Pelicans’ 44 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 22 times.
- In the Thunder’s 44 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 25 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (-122)
- Prediction: Pelicans 117, Thunder 116
- This season, New Orleans has won 15 out of the 25 games, or 60%, in which it has been favored.
- Oklahoma City has won in nine, or 56.2%, of the 16 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Jonas Valančiūnas Rebounds Prop: Over 9.5
- Jonas Valanciunas averages 14.0 points, 9.8 boards and 2.4 assists per contest, shooting 57.0% from the floor.
- He has collected 9.8 rebounds per game, 0.3 higher than his prop bet on Friday.
- He’s grabbed more rebounds than the listed total for him 21 times this season in his 43 games bookmakers set a prop.
- The Thunder are the third-worst team in the NBA in rebounds per game (41.1) and fifth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.0).
Explore all available player props for Jonas Valančiūnas and other Pelicans players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop: Under 32.5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 31.1 points, 5.6 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game for the Thunder.
- Friday’s over/under for Gilgeous-Alexander is 32.5 points, 1.4 more than his season average.
- This season Gilgeous-Alexander is 24-for-44 at going over the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- Offensively, the Pelicans are putting up 117.5 points per game (11th-ranked in league). They are surrendering 112.5 points per contest at the other end of the court (10th-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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