The Milwaukee Bucks (31-13) face the Cleveland Cavaliers (26-16) on January 26, 2024 at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks are favorites, by 5.5 points, in a contest featuring one of the best offensive squads in the league (the Bucks) against one of the top defensive teams (the Cavaliers). The point total for the matchup is 237.5.
Before you make an informed wager on the contest, check out the best bets available for Friday’s game according to our computer predictions.
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Spread: Cavaliers (+5.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Bucks by 2.4 points, a much smaller margin than the 5.5-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Cavaliers to cover.
- Cleveland is 22-18-2 against the spread this season.
- The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 5-2 when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs this season.
- Milwaukee has a 17-26-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Bucks have covered the spread nine times this season (9-17 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
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Total: Under 237.5
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 3.0 points highter than the model projection.
- Milwaukee’s games have finished with more than 237.5 points 27 times so far this year.
- Cleveland’s games have gone over 237.5 points on 10 occasions this year.
- A total of 27 out of the Bucks’ 44 games this season have gone over the point total.
- Cavaliers games have gone over the point total 20 out of 42 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Bucks (-218)
- Prediction: Bucks 118, Cavaliers 116
- Milwaukee has been the favorite in 42 games this season and won 31 (73.8%) of those contests.
- Cleveland has been chosen as underdogs in 16 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (37.5%) in those games.
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Damian Lillard Points Prop: Under 25.5
- Damian Lillard puts up 25.3 points, 4.2 boards and 6.8 assists per contest, shooting 42.5% from the floor and 33.7% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made treys per contest.
- Lillard is scoring 25.3 points per game this season, 0.2 fewer than his over/under on Friday.
- Lillard has hit the over on his points prop total 19 times this season out of 45 games with such a prop.
- Offensively, the Cavaliers are the 19th-ranked squad in the league (114.0 points per game). Defensively, they are third-best (110.1 points allowed per game).
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Jarrett Allen Points Prop: Over 16.5
- On a per-game basis, Jarrett Allen gets the Cavaliers 15.0 points, 10.3 rebounds and 3.0 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 1.0 block.
- Friday’s points prop bet for Allen is 16.5 points. That is 1.5 more than his season average of 15.0.
- He has gone up against a points prop bet in 37 games this season, and he’s exceeded the total 16 times.
- The Bucks have a top-five offense this year, ranking second-best in the league with 124.6 points per game. At the other end, they rank 25th with 120.4 points allowed per contest.
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