In a game featuring one of the hottest teams in the NBA, the New York Knicks (27-17) battle the Denver Nuggets (31-14) at Madison Square Garden on January 25, 2024. The Knicks have won four in a row, and are 8-2 in their past 10 games, but the Nuggets are favorites by 2.5 points. The point total is 223 for the matchup.
Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, take a look at the best bets available for Thursday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Knicks (+2.5) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Knicks in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Nuggets favored and the difference between the two is 4.8 points.
- New York is 24-18-2 ATS this season.
- The Knicks have an ATS record of 4-8-2 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs this season.
- Denver has gone 19-24-2 ATS this season.
- The Nuggets have an ATS record of 16-20-2 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 223
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (226.1 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (223 points).
- A total of 27 times so far this year, Denver and its opponent have combined for more than 223 points.
- New York’s games have finished with over 223 points scored 24 times this season.
- The Nuggets and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 18 out of 45 times this season.
- So far this season, 19 out of the Knicks’ 44 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Knicks (+114)
- Prediction: Knicks 114, Nuggets 112
- This season, Denver has been favored 40 times and won 29, or 72.5%, of those games.
- New York has won in seven, or 38.9%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Jamal Murray Rebounds Prop: Under 3.5
- Jamal Murray puts up 21.3 points, 6.5 assists and 4.0 rebounds per contest.
- He has pulled down 4.0 boards per game, 0.5 more than his over/under for Thursday’s game.
- He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by oddsmakers 13 times this season in 33 games with that prop available.
- In 2023-24, the Knicks are third-best in the NBA in rebounds (46.2 per game) and best in rebounds conceded (40.5).
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Isaiah Hartenstein Points Prop: Under 6.5
- Isaiah Hartenstein gives the Knicks 6.7 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game while averaging 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
- Hartenstein’s 6.7 points per game are 0.2 higher than Thursday’s prop total.
- Hartenstein has hit the points prop over at a 7-for-20 clip this season.
- With 115.9 points per game on offense, the Nuggets rank 14th in the NBA. At the other end, they surrender 110.9 points per contest, which ranks sixth in the league.
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