In a matchup featuring one of the sputtering squads in the NBA, the Washington Wizards (7-35) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (30-13) at Capital One Arena on January 24, 2024. The Wizards have lost four in a row and are 1-9 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 10.5 points. The over/under is set at 229 for the matchup.
Before you place an informed wager on the contest, see the best bets available in Wednesday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Timberwolves favored by 10.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (13.6 points). Put your money on the Timberwolves.
- So far this season, Minnesota has put together a 21-20-2 record against the spread.
- The Timberwolves are 3-5 ATS this season when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites.
- Washington’s ATS record is 20-21-1 this season.
- The Wizards have been an underdog by 10.5 points or more 12 times this year, and covered the spread in seven of those matchups.
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Total: Over 229
- In this game, the model projects a total (230.7 points) marginally higher than the DraftKings over/under (229 points).
- In 13 games this season, Minnesota and its opponent have combined to score more than 229 points.
- Washington’s games have gone over 229 points on 29 occasions this year.
- Timberwolves games have gone over the point total 22 out of 43 times this season.
- So far this season, 22 out of the Wizards’ 42 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-535)
- Prediction: Timberwolves 122, Wizards 109
- Minnesota has been the favorite in 32 games this season and won 25 (78.1%) of those contests.
- Washington has been an underdog in 39 games this season and has come away with the win seven times (17.9%) in those contests.
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Karl-Anthony Towns Points Prop: Over 24.5
- Karl-Anthony Towns averages 22.5 points, 3.0 assists and 8.8 rebounds per game.
- The 24.5-point prop bet set for Towns on Wednesday is 2.0 higher than his season scoring average.
- This season, Towns has scored beyond the points prop number in 21 of 41 games with a set total.
- In 2023-24, the Wizards are 15th in the league offensively (115.4 points scored per game) and worst defensively (124.9 points allowed).
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Tyus Jones Points Prop: Under 12.5
- Tyus Jones is averaging 12.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game. He’s making 51.0% of his shots from the field and 42.1% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 treys per contest.
- The 12.5 points prop bet set for Jones on Wednesday is 0.1 fewer points than his season scoring average (12.6).
- He is 26-for-43 at hitting the over on his points prop total this season.
- The Timberwolves have been lifted by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by surrendering only 107.8 points per game. They rank 21st in the league in points scored (113.4 per contest).
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