The effective offense of the Milwaukee Bucks (30-13) will battle the strong defense of the Cleveland Cavaliers (26-15) at Fiserv Forum on January 24, 2024. The Bucks are favored by 6.5 points. The matchup has an over/under set at 237.5 points.
Our computer predictions for Wednesday’s game will help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Cavaliers (+6.5) to Cover
- The spread for this game suggested by the model (1.9 points) is much tighter than the 6.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bucks, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Cavaliers to cover.
- Cleveland’s ATS record is 22-17-2 this year.
- The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 3-1 when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season.
- Milwaukee is 16-26-1 against the spread this season.
- The Bucks have an ATS record of 7-15 when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites this season.
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Total: Under 237.5
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 3.1 points highter than the model projection.
- A total of 26 times so far this season, Milwaukee and its opponent have combined for more than 237.5 points.
- There have been nine Cleveland’s games this season with more than 237.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 26 out of the Bucks’ 43 games have gone over the point total.
- In the Cavaliers’ 41 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 19 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Bucks (-265)
- Prediction: Bucks 118, Cavaliers 116
- This season, Milwaukee has won 30 out of the 41 games, or 73.2%, in which it has been favored.
- Cleveland has won in six, or 40%, of the 15 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Damian Lillard Points Prop: Under 25.5
- Damian Lillard posts 25.2 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.9 assists per contest, shooting 42.6% from the floor and 34.0% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made treys per contest.
- The 25.5-point over/under for Lillard on Wednesday is 0.3 higher than his season scoring average (25.2).
- So far this season, Lillard is 18-for-44 at going over the total set for his points prop.
- The Cavaliers are 19th in the league in points scored (114.0 per game) and second-best in points conceded (109.7).
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Jarrett Allen Points Prop: Over 14.5
- Jarrett Allen is putting up 14.8 points, 10.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game. He’s draining 67.0% of his shots from the floor (third in NBA).
- The 14.8 points Allen has scored per game this season is 0.3 more than his prop total set for Wednesday (14.5).
- In 36 games this season with a points prop total, Allen has gone over the total 15 times.
- The Bucks have a top-five offense this season, ranking best in the league with 124.6 points per game. At the other end of the court, they rank 25th with 120.5 points allowed per contest.
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