A matchup featuring one of the NBA’s sharpest shooting teams and one of the best defending against the three-pointer will see the Boston Celtics (32-9) as five-point favorites against the Denver Nuggets (28-14) at TD Garden on January 19, 2024. The Celtics rank first in the league in triples per game (16.2), while the Nuggets are third in threes conceded (11.5). The over/under is 233.5 points for this outing.
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Celtics vs. Nuggets Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Celtics | -5 | 233.5 |
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Injury Report as of January 18
Celtics: Jay Scrubb: Out (Knee), Kristaps Porzingis: Out (Knee), Derrick White: Out (Ankle)
Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Julian Strawther: Out (Knee)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Celtics (-5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (233.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Celtics vs. Nuggets Stat Rankings
| Celtics Avg. (Rank) | Nuggets Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 120.9 (5th) | Points Scored | 116.3 (13th) |
| 110.9 (3rd) | Points Allowed | 111.4 (7th) |
| 47.5 (1st) | Rebounds | 43.8 (13th) |
| 10.9 (14th) | Off. Rebounds | 10.8 (16th) |
| 16.2 (1st) | 3pt Made | 11.9 (23rd) |
| 25.5 (21st) | Assists | 29.5 (2nd) |
| 12.3 (7th) | Turnovers | 11.8 (4th) |
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Celtics Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 37 | 26.9 | 8.3 | 4.4 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.2 |
| Jaylen Brown | 37 | 23.1 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Jrue Holiday | 37 | 13.4 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Sam Hauser | 39 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 |
| Payton Pritchard | 40 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.7 |
Nuggets Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 41 | 25.5 | 11.9 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Jamal Murray | 28 | 20.5 | 3.6 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 42 | 16.4 | 7.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| Aaron Gordon | 36 | 14.1 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Reggie Jackson | 42 | 11.8 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 |
Betting Trends
- The Celtics’ record against the spread is 21-18-2.
- Boston’s ATS record as 5-point favorites or more is 18-10-1.
- There have been 22 Celtics games (out of 41) that hit the over this season.
- In 20 games this season, Boston and its opponent have combined to score more than 233.5 points.
- Celtics games this season have posted an average total of 231.9, which is 1.6 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread 18 times in 42 games.
- Denver has covered the spread every time (1-0) as a 5-point underdog or greater this year.
- Out of 42 Nuggets games so far this year, 18 have hit the over.
- Denver’s games have had over 233.5 points 18 times this year.
- Nuggets games average 227.7 total points, 5.8 less than the total for this matchup.
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