Heat vs. Hawks: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – January 19, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 18, 2024

The Miami Heat (24-17) are big favorites by six points against the Atlanta Hawks (17-23) on January 19, 2024 at FTX Arena. The contest features one of the strongest teams in the NBA defensively versus one of the highest-scoring squads. The Heat rank third in points conceded per game (110.9), and the Hawks are fourth in points scored (121.0). The matchup has a 228.5 point total.

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Heat vs. Hawks Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Heat -6 228.5

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Injury Report as of January 18

Heat: Kevin Love: Out (Knee), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Out (Groin)

Hawks: Mouhamed Gueye: Out (Back), Wesley Matthews: Out (Calf), Vit Krejci: Out (Shoulder), De’Andre Hunter: Out (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Hawks (+6)
Total Pick Over (228.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Heat vs. Hawks Stat Rankings

Heat Avg. (Rank) Hawks Avg. (Rank)
111.5 (26th) Points Scored 121.0 (4th)
110.9 (3rd) Points Allowed 123.0 (28th)
41.7 (25th) Rebounds 44.9 (7th)
9.4 (26th) Off. Rebounds 13.1 (1st)
12.4 (17th) 3pt Made 13.7 (7th)
26.0 (18th) Assists 25.7 (20th)
12.5 (10th) Turnovers 13.4 (20th)

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Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Tyler Herro 22 22.4 5.7 4.3 1.2 0.1 3.2
Bam Adebayo 31 21.5 10.5 4.2 1 0.9 0
Jimmy Butler 26 21.2 5 4.5 1.1 0.4 0.8
Duncan Robinson 39 13.9 2.7 3.1 0.6 0.2 2.9
Caleb Martin 24 10.5 4.8 2.3 0.8 0.3 1.1

Hawks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Trae Young 37 26.8 3 11 1.4 0.2 3.2
Dejounte Murray 39 21.1 4.8 4.9 1.3 0.3 2.3
Bogdan Bogdanovic 37 16.9 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.2 3.1
Jalen Johnson 25 14.7 8.3 3.2 1.4 0.8 1.1
Saddiq Bey 39 13.1 6.6 1.4 1 0.2 1.9

Betting Trends

  • The Heat’s record against the spread is 19-20-2.
  • Miami has won twice ATS (2-3-1) as a 6-point favorite or more this season.
  • This year, 18 of the Heat’s 41 games have hit the over.
  • In 15 games this year, Miami and its opponent have combined for more than 228.5 points.
  • The over/under in this game is 228.5 points, 6.1 higher than the average total in Heat games this season.
  • The Hawks are 10-30-0 against the spread this season.
  • Atlanta has won once ATS (1-3) as a 6-point underdog or more this season.
  • The Hawks have seen 22 of their 40 games go over the point total.
  • Atlanta’s games have finished with over 228.5 points scored 30 times this year.
  • This season, Hawks games have resulted in an average scoring total of 243.9, which is 15.4 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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