Heat vs. Raptors: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – January 17, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 16, 2024

The Miami Heat (24-16) visit the Toronto Raptors (15-25) at Scotiabank Arena, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, January 17, 2024. The Raptors are just 1-point underdogs in the game. The over/under for this matchup is set at 228.

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Heat vs. Raptors Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Heat -1 228

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Injury Report as of January 16

Heat: Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Out (Groin), Kevin Love: Out (Knee)

Raptors: Otto Porter: Out (Knee), Gradey Dick: Questionable (Thumb), Christian Koloko: Out (Illness), Jakob Poeltl: Out (Ankle), Gary Trent: Questionable (Illness)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Raptors (+1)
Total Pick Under (228)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Heat vs. Raptors Stat Rankings

Heat Avg. (Rank) Raptors Avg. (Rank)
111.9 (25th) Points Scored 115 (17th)
110.6 (2nd) Points Allowed 116.8 (18th)
41.8 (25th) Rebounds 44 (12th)
9.4 (26th) Off. Rebounds 11.2 (9th)
12.6 (16th) 3pt Made 11.7 (26th)
26 (17th) Assists 29.4 (3rd)
12.5 (9th) Turnovers 12.7 (11th)

Best Betting Site for Heat vs. Raptors

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Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Tyler Herro 21 22.7 5.7 4.4 1.2 0.1 3.3
Bam Adebayo 30 21.7 10.7 4.2 1 1 0
Jimmy Butler 25 21.4 5 4.4 1.1 0.4 0.8
Duncan Robinson 38 13.9 2.7 3.2 0.6 0.2 2.9
Caleb Martin 23 10.5 4.8 2.2 0.8 0.3 1.2

Raptors Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Pascal Siakam 39 22.2 6.3 4.8 0.8 0.3 1.2
Scottie Barnes 40 20.2 8.5 5.6 1.4 1.4 2.1
RJ Barrett 8 19.9 7.1 3.4 0.6 0.5 1.9
Immanuel Quickley 8 18.9 4.6 5 0.6 0.3 2.9
RJ Barrett 25 18 4.1 2.5 0.5 0.4 1.7

Betting Trends

  • The Heat have covered the spread 19 times in 40 games.
  • Miami’s ATS record as 1-point favorites or more is 11-10-2.
  • There have been 18 Heat games (out of 40) that hit the over this year.
  • Miami and its opponent have broken the 228-point mark 15 times this season.
  • Heat games this season have posted an average total of 222.5, which is 5.5 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Raptors are 19-20-1 this year.
  • Against the spread, as a 1-point underdog or greater, Toronto is 11-12-1.
  • There have been 23 Raptors games (out of 40) that hit the over this season.
  • Toronto’s games have finished with over 228 points scored 23 times this season.
  • The average total for Raptors games is 231.8 points, which is 3.8 more than this game’s over/under.

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