The Los Angeles Clippers (25-14) play the Oklahoma City Thunder (27-12) on January 16, 2024 at Crypto.com Arena. The Clippers are big favorites, by six points, in a matchup featuring two of the highest-scoring squads in the NBA. The matchup has an over/under of 237.5.
Our computer predictions for Tuesday’s game can help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Thunder (+6) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (1.4 points) is considerably less than the 6-point edge DraftKings gives to the Clippers, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Thunder to cover.
- Oklahoma City is 26-12-1 against the spread this year.
- The Thunder have won their only game this season when playing as at least 6-point underdogs.
- Los Angeles is 20-19-0 ATS this season.
- The Clippers have covered the spread eight times this season (8-7 ATS) when playing as at least 6-point favorites.
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Total: Under 237.5
- The model predicts a total 5.2 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- In 13 games this year, Los Angeles and its opponent have combined for more than 237.5 points.
- Oklahoma City’s games have had over 237.5 points 18 times this year.
- The Clippers and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 16 out of 39 times this season.
- In the Thunder’s 39 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 22 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Clippers (-230)
- Prediction: Clippers 117, Thunder 115
- Los Angeles has entered the game as favorites 31 times this season and won 25, or 80.6%, of those games.
- Oklahoma City has been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (57.1%) in those games.
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James Harden Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5
- James Harden posts 17.0 points, 4.6 boards and 8.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocks.
- He averages 0.1 more rebounds than his over/under on Tuesday (which is 4.5).
- He has gone over on rebounds in 12 of 32 games with that prop available so far this season.
- On the boards, the Thunder are third-worst in the league in rebounds (41.3 per game). They are 25th in rebounds conceded (45.3 per game).
Check out all available player props for James Harden and other Clippers players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop: Under 6.5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is putting up 31.3 points, 5.8 rebounds and 6.3 assists per contest. He’s also draining 55.6% of his shots from the floor and 33.3% from 3-point range, with 1.2 triples per game.
- His rebounding average — 5.8 — is 0.7 lower than his over/under on Tuesday.
- He has gone over on rebounds in 18 of 38 games with that prop available so far this season.
- The Clippers are grabbing 43.2 boards per game this year (19th-ranked in NBA), and they’ve ceded just 41.5 rebounds per contest (fourth-best).
Check out the prop bets available for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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