In a matchup pitting one of the best offensive squads in the NBA versus one of the strongest teams defensively, the Atlanta Hawks (16-23) battle the Orlando Magic (22-18) at State Farm Arena on January 17, 2024. The Hawks are fourth in points per game (121.3), and the Magic are fifth in points allowed (111.2). Atlanta is a favorite, by 3.5 points. The matchup has a point total of 234.5.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Wednesday’s game.
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Spread: Magic (+3.5) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Magic compared to the DraftKings line, a 4.5 point difference, and has them favored to win Wednesday’s game outright. Put your money on the Magic.
- So far this season, Orlando has put together a 26-14-0 record against the spread.
- The Magic have covered the spread 11 times this season (11-7 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
- Atlanta is 10-29-0 ATS this season.
- The Hawks have an ATS record of 3-12 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season.
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Total: Under 234.5
- The DraftKings total for this game, 234.5 points, and the model’s projected total, 234.1 points, are only 0.4 points apart.
- Atlanta’s games have had more than 234.5 points scored on 25 occasions this year.
- There have been 11 Orlando’s games this season with more than 234.5 points scored.
- Hawks games have gone over the point total 22 out of 39 times this season.
- So far this season, 17 out of the Magic’s 40 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Magic (+136)
- Prediction: Magic 118, Hawks 117
- Atlanta has entered the game as favorites 21 times this season and won 11, or 52.4%, of those games.
- Orlando has been chosen as underdogs in 28 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (42.9%) in those games.
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