In a matchup featuring one of the highest-scoring squads in the league versus one of the worst squads defensively, the Atlanta Hawks (15-23, fourth in points per game) face the San Antonio Spurs (7-31, 26th in points allowed) at State Farm Arena on January 15, 2024. The Hawks are favored by eight points. The matchup has an over/under of 246 points.
Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, see the best bets available for Monday’s game according to our computer predictions.
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Spread: Spurs (+8) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.3 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- San Antonio is 18-20-0 ATS this season.
- The Spurs have an ATS record of 8-11 when playing as at least 8-point underdogs this season.
- Atlanta is 9-29-0 ATS this season.
- The Hawks have been favored by 8 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
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Total: Under 246
- The model predicts a total 6.0 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- Atlanta and its opponent have broken the 246-point mark 16 times this season.
- San Antonio’s games have had over 246 points 12 times this season.
- The Hawks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 22 out of 38 times this season.
- The Spurs and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 22 out of 38 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Hawks (-325)
- Prediction: Hawks 124, Spurs 116
- Atlanta has entered the game as favorites 20 times this season and won 10, or 50%, of those games.
- San Antonio has been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (11.4%) in those games.
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Dejounte Murray Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5
- Dejounte Murray posts 21.2 points, 4.6 boards and 5.0 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals (ninth in league) and 0.3 blocks.
- He averages 0.1 more rebounds than his prop bet Monday of 4.5.
- Sportsbooks have set a rebound total for him 39 times this season, and he has hit the over in 19 of those games.
- The Spurs are 21st in the league in rebounds per game (43.1) and third-worst in rebounds conceded (46.5).
See all available player props for Dejounte Murray and other Hawks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Victor Wembanyama Points Prop: Over 20.5
- Victor Wembanyama is averaging 19.4 points, 10.2 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game. He’s also sinking 45.2% of his shots from the field and 29.4% from 3-point range, with 1.5 triples per game.
- The 20.5-point prop total for Wembanyama on Monday is 1.1 higher than his season scoring average, which is 19.4.
- Wembanyama has hit the over on his points prop on 17 occasions this season (in 37 games with such a prop).
- Because of the Hawks’ defensive struggles this season, ranking second-worst in the NBA with 124.1 points allowed per game, they’ve had to rely on their offense, which ranks fourth-best in the league scoring 121.7 points per game.
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