The Milwaukee Bucks (27-12) play the Sacramento Kings (23-15) on January 14, 2024 at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks are favorites, by four points, in a matchup featuring a pair of the top players in the NBA, the Bucks’ Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Kings’ Domantas Sabonis. The point total for the matchup is set at 245.5.
Aiming to make an informed wager on Sunday’s game? See the best bets available in this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.
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Spread: Bucks (-4) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Bucks favored by four, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (6.5 points).
- So far this season, Milwaukee has compiled a 16-22-1 record against the spread.
- The Bucks are 11-18-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 4-point favorites.
- Sacramento’s ATS record is 20-18-0 this year.
- The Kings have covered the spread when playing as at least 4-point underdogs in two of two chances this year.
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Total: Under 245.5
- The model predicts a total 6.2 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- A total of 20 times so far this season, Milwaukee and its opponent have combined to score more than 245.5 points.
- Sacramento’s games have finished with over 245.5 points scored 11 times this season.
- The Bucks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 24 out of 39 times this season.
- In the Kings’ 38 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 18 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Bucks (-180)
- Prediction: Bucks 123, Kings 116
- Milwaukee has been the favorite in 38 games this season and won 27 (71.1%) of those contests.
- Sacramento has been victorious in five of the nine contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Damian Lillard Points Prop: Over 27.5
- Damian Lillard averages 25.0 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocks.
- Lillard’s 25.0-point scoring average is 2.5 less than Sunday’s prop total.
- Lillard has hit the points prop over at a 16-for-40 clip this season.
- In 2023-24, the Kings are ninth in the NBA offensively (117.6 points scored per game) and 19th on defense (117.1 points conceded).
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De’Aaron Fox Points Prop: Over 26.5
- On a per-game basis, De’Aaron Fox gives the Kings 27.6 points, 4.2 rebounds and 5.8 assists. He also averages 1.5 steals (seventh in league) and 0.4 blocked shots.
- The 27.6 points Fox has scored per game this season is 1.1 more than his prop bet over/under set for Sunday (26.5).
- In 33 games this season with a points prop total, Fox has hit the over 14 times.
- The Bucks have been carried by their offense, as they rank second-best in the NBA by putting up 124.5 points per game. They rank 24th in the league in points allowed (119.4 per contest).
Check out the prop bets available for De’Aaron Fox and other Kings players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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