The Denver Nuggets (27-13) host the Indiana Pacers (23-15) on January 14, 2024 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are strongly favored, by 10.5 points, in a matchup featuring one of the NBA’s strongest defensive squads against one of the highest-scoring teams. The Nuggets are second in points allowed per game (111.1), while the Pacers are first in points scored (126.6). The over/under is 240.5 points for this matchup.
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Nuggets vs. Pacers Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -10.5 | 240.5 |
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Injury Report as of January 14
Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Christian Braun: Probable (Ankle), Peyton Watson: Probable (Illness), Julian Strawther: Out (Knee)
Pacers: Jarace Walker: Questionable (Illness), Tyrese Haliburton: Out (Hamstring), Aaron Nesmith: Out (Shin)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Pacers (+10.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (240.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Nuggets vs. Pacers Stat Rankings
| Nuggets Avg. (Rank) | Pacers Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 116.2 (13th) | Points Scored | 126.6 (1st) |
| 111.1 (2nd) | Points Allowed | 123.4 (28th) |
| 43.9 (13th) | Rebounds | 40.8 (29th) |
| 10.8 (16th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.9 (23rd) |
| 11.9 (22nd) | 3pt Made | 14.4 (5th) |
| 29.6 (2nd) | Assists | 31.2 (1st) |
| 11.6 (1st) | Turnovers | 13.1 (17th) |
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Nuggets Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 39 | 25.5 | 11.7 | 9.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Jamal Murray | 26 | 20.5 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 40 | 16.1 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.7 |
| Aaron Gordon | 34 | 13.9 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Reggie Jackson | 40 | 11.9 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.5 |
Pacers Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner | 35 | 17.2 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2 | 1.3 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 36 | 14.8 | 3.8 | 2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
| Buddy Hield | 36 | 12.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| Bruce Brown | 30 | 11.9 | 4.4 | 3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Obi Toppin | 36 | 11.8 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
Betting Trends
- The Nuggets have beaten the spread 18 times in 40 games.
- Denver is 3-1 as 10.5-point favorites or more.
- The Nuggets have seen 17 of their 40 games go over the point total.
- Denver’s games have finished with more than 240.5 points nine times so far this year.
- Nuggets games this season have posted an average total of 227.2, which is 13.3 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
- The Pacers have covered the spread 22 times in 38 games.
- Indiana is winless ATS (0-2) when playing as at least a 10.5-point underdog this year.
- Out of 38 Pacers games so far this season, 24 have hit the over.
- So far this year, 24 Indiana’s games have featured more than 240.5 points scored.
- The average total for Pacers games is 250 points, 9.5 more than this game’s over/under.
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