The Dallas Mavericks (23-16) host the New Orleans Pelicans (23-16) at American Airlines Center, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, January 13, 2024. The Mavericks are 4-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 229.5 points.
Before you place an informed wager on the contest, see the best bets available for Saturday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Pelicans (+4) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Pelicans in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Mavericks favored and the difference between the two is 4.1 points.
- New Orleans has a 22-16-1 record against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 4-point underdogs this season, the Pelicans have an ATS record of 5-3.
- Dallas has a 22-17-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Mavericks are 9-7 ATS this season when playing as at least 4-point favorites.
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Total: Over 229.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (232.0 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (229.5 points).
- Dallas’ games have had more than 229.5 points scored on 26 occasions this year.
- New Orleans’ games have finished with over 229.5 points scored 16 times this year.
- In the Mavericks’ 39 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 22 times.
- The Pelicans and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 19 out of 39 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (+140)
- Prediction: Pelicans 117, Mavericks 116
- Dallas has won 16, or 69.6%, of the 23 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- New Orleans has been an underdog in 18 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (55.6%) in those contests.
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Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop: Under 21.5
- Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 17.5 points, 1.8 assists and 3.7 boards per game.
- Hardaway’s 17.5-point scoring average is 4.0 less than Saturday’s over/under.
- So far this season, Hardaway is 15-for-27 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- In 2023-24, the Pelicans are 11th in the league offensively (116.4 points scored per game) and ninth defensively (111.8 points allowed).
See all available player props for Tim Hardaway Jr. and other Mavericks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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