The Milwaukee Bucks (26-12) take on the Golden State Warriors (18-20) as 13.5-point favorites on Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET on NBCS. The over/under in the matchup is set at 241.
Dive into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) for Saturday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the contest.
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Spread: Warriors (+13.5) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (6.8 points) is significantly less than the 13.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bucks, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Warriors to cover.
- So far this season, Golden State has compiled a 17-20-1 record against the spread.
- Milwaukee has gone 16-21-1 ATS this season.
- The Bucks have covered the spread once when favored by 13.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
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Total: Under 241
- The model projects a total 1.4 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Milwaukee’s games have had more than 241 points scored on 21 occasions this season.
- So far this season, 12 Golden State’s games have featured more than 241 points scored.
- The Bucks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 23 out of 38 times this season.
- A total of 23 Warriors games this season have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Bucks (-1050)
- Prediction: Bucks 123, Warriors 116
- This season, Milwaukee has been favored 37 times and won 26, or 70.3%, of those games.
- Golden State has won in four, or 25%, of the 16 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop: Over 32.5
- Giannis Antetokounmpo posts 31.0 points, 5.9 assists and 11.7 boards per contest.
- Saturday’s over/under for Antetokounmpo is 32.5 points. That’s 1.5 more than his season average of 31.0.
- Antetokounmpo has gone up against a points prop bet in 39 games this season, and he’s hit the over 20 times.
- At 117.4 points scored per game and 117.9 points conceded, the Warriors are 10th in the NBA on offense and 22nd defensively.
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