Browns vs. Texans Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Wild Card

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 13, 2024

The Cleveland Browns (11-6) visit the Houston Texans (10-7) at NRG Stadium in the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs, with best bets available, on Saturday, January 13, 2024.

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Spread: Browns (-2) to Cover

  • The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.2 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
  • So far this season, Cleveland has put together a 10-6-1 record against the spread.
  • The Browns’ ATS record as 2-point favorites or more is 7-2.
  • Cleveland is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall during its last three games.
  • Houston has covered the spread nine times in 17 games with a set total.
  • When playing as at least 2-point underdogs this year, the Texans have an ATS record of 6-2.
  • Houston has covered the spread twice in its past three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.

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Total: Under 45

  • The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 1.2 points higher than the model projection.
  • Houston has played in six games this year where they combined with their opponents to score more than 45 points.
  • So far this season, 10 out of the Browns’ 17 games have hit the over.
  • Texans games have hit the over six out of 17 times this season.

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Moneyline Winner: Browns (-148)

  • Prediction:
    Cleveland 23 – Houston 21
  • Cleveland has put together an 8-1 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 88.9% of those games).
  • Houston has been an underdog in nine games this season and won five (55.6%) of those contests.

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Browns and Texans Splits

Browns Texans
Record 11-6 10-7
At Home 8-1 6-3
On the Road 3-5 4-4
In Conference 8-4 7-5
In Division 3-3 4-2
One Possession Games 6-2 7-3
Indoor 2-0 7-4
Outdoor 9-6 3-3

Interested in more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!

C.J. Stroud Passing TDs: Under 1.5 (-150)

  • Regular Season: 4,108 PASS YDS / 273.9 YPG / 63.9% / 23 TD / 5 INT
  • In Texans’ Last 5 Games: 568 PASS YDS / 189.3 YPG / 66.7% / 3 TD / 0 INT
  • In Texans’ Last 3 Games: 477 PASS YDS / 238.5 YPG / 75.9% / 3 TD / 0 INT

See all of Stroud’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards: Under 67.5 (-110)

  • Regular Season: 216 CAR / 898 YDS / 52.8 YPG / 4 TD
  • In Texans’ Last 5 Games: 88 CAR / 373 YDS / 74.6 YPG / 2 TD
  • In Texans’ Last 3 Games: 88 CAR / 373 YDS / 74.6 YPG / 2 TD

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David Njoku Receiving Yards: Under 57.5 (-115)

  • Regular Season: 81 REC / 882 YDS / 55.1 YPG / 6 TD
  • In Browns’ Last 5 Games: 28 REC / 373 YDS / 93.3 YPG / 4 TD
  • In Browns’ Last 3 Games: 12 REC / 178 YDS / 89 YPG / 1 TD

See all of Njoku’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Player prop bet insights reflect regular season data only.

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