The Denver Nuggets (26-13) are 5.5-point favorites over the New Orleans Pelicans (23-15) on January 12, 2024 at Ball Arena in a contest featuring a pair of the top defensive teams in the NBA — the Nuggets are third in points allowed per game (111.0) and the Pelicans are fifth (111.4). The over/under is 230 points for this matchup.
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Nuggets vs. Pelicans Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -5.5 | 230 |
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Injury Report as of January 12
Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Julian Strawther: Out (Knee)
Pelicans: Matt Ryan: Out (Elbow), Trey Murphy: Questionable (Knee), CJ McCollum: Questionable (Ankle), Brandon Ingram: Questionable (Achilles), Zion Williamson: Questionable (Quadricep)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Pelicans (+5.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (230) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans Stat Rankings
| Nuggets Avg. (Rank) | Pelicans Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 115.9 (12th) | Points Scored | 116.4 (11th) |
| 111.0 (3rd) | Points Allowed | 111.4 (5th) |
| 43.8 (14th) | Rebounds | 44.6 (9th) |
| 10.8 (15th) | Off. Rebounds | 11.0 (14th) |
| 11.9 (21st) | 3pt Made | 11.9 (21st) |
| 29.6 (3rd) | Assists | 26.8 (11th) |
| 11.5 (1st) | Turnovers | 12.9 (16th) |
Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Pelicans
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Nuggets Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 38 | 25.5 | 11.8 | 9.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Jamal Murray | 25 | 20.5 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 39 | 16 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| Aaron Gordon | 33 | 13.8 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Reggie Jackson | 39 | 11.9 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 |
Pelicans Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 29 | 22.4 | 6.1 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Brandon Ingram | 33 | 22.2 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| CJ McCollum | 23 | 20.3 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 3.7 |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 36 | 14.3 | 9.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Trey Murphy III | 13 | 13.6 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.8 |
Betting Trends
- Against the spread, the Nuggets are 17-21-1 this season.
- As 5.5-point favorites or more, Denver is 10-8-1 against the spread.
- There have been 16 Nuggets games (out of 39) that hit the over this year.
- Denver’s games have finished with more than 230 points 18 times so far this season.
- The over/under for this game is 230 points, 3.1 more than the average point total for Nuggets games this season.
- The Pelicans have beaten the spread 22 times in 38 games.
- New Orleans is 3-2 as a 5.5-point underdog or more.
- Out of 38 Pelicans games so far this year, 18 have hit the over.
- New Orleans’ games have had over 230 points 15 times this season.
- Games involving the Pelicans this year have averaged 227.9 points per game, a 2.1-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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