Dolphins vs. Cowboys Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 16

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 19, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The 4:25 PM ET contest on December 24 between the Miami Dolphins (10-4) and the Dallas Cowboys (10-4) should be an exciting matchup, as Tyreek Hill has been one of the league’s top receivers this year, and the Cowboys have been a top-five pass defense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL at 176.9 passing yards surrendered per game.

The Dolphins are the favorite (-1.5) in an expected tight matchup against the Cowboys. The total is set at 51.5 points.

The betting facts in the following article reflect odds as of December 19, 2023 at 12:11 AM ET. See below the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dolphins Vs Cowboys Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Dolphins -1.5 51.5

Dolphins vs. Cowboys Predictions

Computer picks for Dolphins vs Cowboys
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Cowboys (+1.5) Under (51.5)

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Team Stat Rankings

Dolphins Cowboys
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 31.5 (1) 30.8 (2)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 21.0 (14) 18.9 (5)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.6 (2) 5.5 (7)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 4.8 (4) 4.9 (6)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 20 (19) 12 (1)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 22 (9) 21 (12)

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Dolphins Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Dolphins are 9-5-0 this year.
  • Against the spread as 1.5-point or better favorites, Miami is 8-2.
  • The Dolphins have seen eight of their 14 games go over the point total.
  • The over/under in this game is 51.5 points, 4.5 higher than the average total in Miami games this season (postseason included).

Cowboys Betting Insights

  • The Cowboys have nine wins in 14 contests against the spread this year.
  • Dallas doesn’t have a win ATS (0-3) as a 1.5-point underdog or more this year.
  • The Cowboys have played 14 games this year, and eight of them have gone over the total.
  • Dallas games have gone over 51.5 points on five occasions this season.
  • Games involving the Cowboys this year have averaged 45.4 points per game, a 6.1-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Raheem Mostert has racked up 966 yards on 198 carries while finding paydirt 18 times.
  • This season, Devon Achane has carried the ball 72 times for 613 yards (76.6 per game) and seven touchdowns, while also racking up 155 yards through the air with two touchdowns.
  • Hill’s 1,542 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 132 times and has registered 97 catches and 12 touchdowns.
  • Jaylen Waddle has put up a 964-yard season with four touchdowns, reeling in 71 passes on 100 targets.
  • Durham Smythe has a total of 226 receiving yards this year, hauling in 24 passes.
  • Bradley Chubb leads the team with 9.5 sacks, and also has 9.0 TFL and 64 tackles.
  • David Long, Miami’s leading tackler, has 90 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack this year.
  • Jalen Ramsey has a team-high three interceptions to go along with 12 tackles and five passes defended.

Cowboys Players to Watch

  • Tony Pollard has run for 848 yards on 207 carries this year while scoring five times on the ground. He’s also added 51 catches, totaling 290 yards.
  • Rico Dowdle has racked up 311 yards (on 78 attempts) with two touchdowns.
  • CeeDee Lamb’s 1,306 receiving yards (93.3 yards per game) are a team high. He has 103 catches on 141 targets with eight touchdowns.
  • Jake Ferguson has caught 57 passes and compiled 614 receiving yards (43.9 per game) with five touchdowns.
  • Brandin Cooks has racked up 544 reciving yards (41.8 ypg) and five touchdowns this season.
  • Micah Parsons has 12.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 14.0 TFL and 46 tackles.
  • Dallas’ tackle leader, Damone Clark, has 92 tackles and 4.0 TFL this year.
  • Daron Bland has a team-high eight interceptions to go along with 60 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 14 passes defended.

How to Bet on Dolphins vs Cowboys

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