Colts vs. Falcons Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 16

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 19, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The Indianapolis Colts (8-6), who grabbed a win against the Steelers in their previous tilt, visit the Atlanta Falcons (6-8) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on December 24 at 1:00 PM ET. The Falcons were taken down by the Panthers in their last game.

The Falcons should compete as underdogs (+2.5) in their matchup with the Colts (the game has a total of 44 points).

The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of December 19, 2023 at 12:11 AM ET. See below the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Colts Vs Falcons Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Colts -2.5 44

Colts vs. Falcons Predictions

Computer picks for Colts vs Falcons
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Colts (-2.5) Under (44)

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Team Stat Rankings

Colts Falcons
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 24.6 (7) 18.4 (26)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 24.5 (27) 19.9 (8)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.2 (14) 5.0 (22)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.2 (13) 4.9 (6)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 20 (19) 21 (22)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 24 (3) 15 (24)

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Colts Betting Insights

  • The Colts have nine wins in 14 games against the spread this year.
  • Indianapolis has yet to lose ATS (1-0) as a 2.5-point favorite or greater this season.
  • The Colts have played 14 games this year and 10 of them have hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 44 points, 0.7 more than the average point total for Indianapolis games this season (postseason included).

Falcons Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Falcons are 4-10-0 this season.
  • As a 2.5-point underdog or more, Atlanta has one win ATS (1-2) this season.
  • The Falcons have seen five of their 14 games hit the over.
  • There have been five Atlanta games this year with more than 44 points scored.
  • Falcons games average 39.9 total points, 4.1 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Colts Players to Watch

  • The team’s top rusher, Zack Moss, has carried the ball 177 times for 764 yards (58.8 per game), scoring five times.
  • Jonathan Taylor has collected 414 yards on 100 carries, scoring four times. He’s grabbed 16 passes for 137 yards (19.6 per game) and one touchdown, as well.
  • Michael Pittman Jr.’s 1,062 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 143 times and has totaled 99 catches and four touchdowns.
  • Josh Downs has caught 57 passes for 631 yards (45.1 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
  • Alec Pierce has been the target of 53 passes and racked up 28 grabs for 426 yards, an average of 30.4 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone one time through the air this season.
  • Samson Ebukam leads the team with 9.5 sacks, and also has 9.0 TFL and 47 tackles.
  • Zaire Franklin, Indianapolis’ tackle leader, has 150 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks this year.
  • Julian Blackmon leads the team with four interceptions, while also recording 87 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and eight passes defended.

Falcons Players to Watch

  • Bijan Robinson has rushed for 801 yards on 176 carries this year while scoring four times on the ground. He’s also added 41 catches, totaling 323 yards and three touchdowns in the passing game.
  • Tyler Allgeier has run for 577 yards across 166 carries, scoring three touchdowns.
  • Drake London has hauled in 769 receiving yards on 58 receptions to pace his team this season while scoring two touchdowns as a receiver.
  • Kyle Pitts has 47 receptions (on 78 targets) for a total of 586 yards (41.9 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
  • Jonnu Smith’s 43 receptions (on 57 targets) have netted him 521 yards (37.2 ypg) and two touchdowns.
  • Arnold Ebiketie has 5.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 3.0 TFL and 20 tackles.
  • Jessie Bates III has been all over the field, leading the team in both tackles and interceptions. He has 111 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and five interceptions.

How to Bet on Colts vs Falcons

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