The New England Patriots (3-11) have struggled to generate points this season, ranking dead last in the NFL at 13.3 points per game. But they might have success on December 24 at 8:15 PM ET when they visit the Denver Broncos (7-7), who rank just 30th in scoring defense (25.1 points surrendered per game).
The Broncos are the favorite (-6.5) against the Patriots. The total is set at 34 points.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of December 19, 2023 at 12:11 AM ET. See below the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Broncos Vs Patriots Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos | -6.5 | 34 |
Broncos vs. Patriots Predictions
| ATS pick | Over/Under pick |
|---|---|
| Broncos (-6.5) | Over (34) |
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Team Stat Rankings
| Broncos | Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 21.7 (16) | 13.3 (32) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 25.1 (30) | 21.4 (16) |
| Off. Yards per Play (Rank) | 5.1 (18) | 4.7 (28) |
| Def. Yards per Play (Rank) | 6.0 (30) | 4.8 (4) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 19 (16) | 22 (24) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 24 (3) | 14 (29) |
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Broncos Betting Insights
- Against the spread, the Broncos are 4-8-2 this season.
- The Broncos have seen six of their 14 games go over the point total.
- The over/under in this matchup is 34 points, 10.7 fewer than the average total in this season’s Denver contests.
Patriots Betting Insights
- The Patriots have covered the spread three times in 14 games.
- As a 6.5-point underdog or more, New England has one win ATS (1-2-1) this season.
- There have been five Patriots games (out of 14) that hit the over this season.
- New England’s games have finished with more than 34 points 10 times this season.
- The average total for Patriots games is 40.3 points, 6.3 more than this game’s over/under.
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Broncos Players to Watch
- Javonte Williams has carried the ball 182 times for a team-high 677 yards on the ground and has found the end zone one time as a runner.
- Jaleel McLaughlin has been handed the ball 58 times this year and racked up 323 yards (23.1 per game) with one touchdown.
- Courtland Sutton leads his squad with 770 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 58 catches (out of 85 targets) and scored 10 touchdowns.
- Jerry Jeudy has grabbed 45 passes while averaging 44.7 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
- Samaje Perine’s 41 grabs have turned into 389 yards.
- Nik Bonitto paces the team with 7.0 sacks, and also has 11.0 TFL and 27 tackles.
- Alex Singleton is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s collected 139 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 2.0 sacks.
- Justin Simmons has picked off a team-leading three passes. He also has 56 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and eight passes defended to his name.
Patriots Players to Watch
- Rhamondre Stevenson has run the ball 156 times for 619 yards, with four touchdowns. He’s also tacked on 38 catches for 238 yards.
- Ezekiel Elliott has racked up 522 yards (on 145 attempts) with two touchdowns, while also catching 36 passes for 247 yards and one touchdown.
- Demario Douglas leads his team with 443 receiving yards on 39 catches.
- Hunter Henry has put up a 419-yard season with six touchdowns. He’s caught 42 passes on 62 targets.
- DeVante Parker’s 44 targets have resulted in 27 catches for 308 yards.
- Christian Barmore paces the team with 5.5 sacks, and also has 9.0 TFL and 41 tackles.
- Ja’Whaun Bentley, New England’s top tackler, has 88 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 4.0 sacks this year.
- Jahlani Tavai has picked off a team-leading two passes. He also has 87 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and five passes defended to his name.
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