The Denver Nuggets (17-10) host the Dallas Mavericks (16-9) on December 18, 2023 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are big favorites, by 8.5 points, in a matchup featuring two of the NBA’s best players, the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic and the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic. The over/under is set at 237.5 points for the matchup.
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Nuggets vs. Mavericks Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -8.5 | 237.5 |
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Injury Report as of December 18
Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Questionable (Concussion)
Mavericks: Maximilian Kleber: Out (Toe), Kyrie Irving: Questionable (Foot), Richaun Holmes: Questionable (Illness), Dereck Lively II: Out (Ankle), Josh Green: Out (Elbow)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Mavericks (+8.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (237.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Stat Rankings
| Nuggets Avg. (Rank) | Mavericks Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 114.7 (15th) | Points Scored | 119.9 (6th) |
| 110.8 (6th) | Points Allowed | 117.1 (22nd) |
| 44.6 (11th) | Rebounds | 42.2 (23rd) |
| 11.6 (10th) | Off. Rebounds | 10.2 (21st) |
| 11.6 (23rd) | 3pt Made | 15.9 (1st) |
| 29.7 (2nd) | Assists | 25.7 (16th) |
| 11.7 (3rd) | Turnovers | 11.6 (2nd) |
Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Mavericks
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Nuggets Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 26 | 27 | 12.4 | 9.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Jamal Murray | 13 | 18 | 3.2 | 6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.2 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 27 | 16.8 | 8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| Reggie Jackson | 27 | 13.4 | 2.3 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Aaron Gordon | 23 | 13 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 1 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
Mavericks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 24 | 32.7 | 8.3 | 9.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 3.8 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 17.7 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0 | 3.5 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 24 | 10 | 3.7 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Grant Williams | 22 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.2 |
| Dante Exum | 22 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
Betting Trends
- Against the spread, the Nuggets are 11-15-1 this season.
- Denver’s ATS record as 8.5-point favorites or more is 3-3-1.
- There have been 11 Nuggets games (out of 27) that hit the over this year.
- Denver and its opponent have broken the 237.5-point mark seven times this season.
- The over/under in this game is 237.5 points, 12.0 higher than the average total in Nuggets games this season.
- The Mavericks have 14 wins in 25 games against the spread this year.
- Out of 25 Mavericks games so far this year, 18 have gone over the total.
- Dallas’ games have finished with over 237.5 points scored 15 times this season.
- The over/under for this game is 0.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Mavericks games (237.0).
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