In a game pitting one of the best squads in the NBA defensively versus one of the highest-scoring teams, the Los Angeles Clippers (15-10) face the Indiana Pacers (13-11) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on December 18, 2023. The Clippers are fifth in points allowed per game (110.0), and the Pacers are first in points scored (127.4). Los Angeles is a favorite, by three points. The matchup has an over/under set at 244.5 points.
Dive into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) in Monday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the contest.
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Spread: Pacers (+3) to Cover
- The spread for this game suggested by the model (1.5 points) is a little tighter than the 3-point edge DraftKings gives to the Clippers, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- So far this season, Indiana has compiled a 13-11-0 record against the spread.
- The Pacers have covered the spread five times this season (5-5 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- Los Angeles is 12-13-0 against the spread this season.
- The Clippers are 7-9 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
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Total: Under 244.5
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 5.4 points highter than the model projection.
- Five times so far this season, Los Angeles and its opponent have combined to score more than 244.5 points.
- So far this season, 17 Indiana’s games have featured more than 244.5 points scored.
- Clippers games have hit the over nine out of 25 times this season.
- So far this season, 18 out of the Pacers’ 24 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Clippers (-148)
- Prediction: Clippers 120, Pacers 119
- This season, Los Angeles has been favored 20 times and won 15, or 75%, of those games.
- Indiana has won in seven, or 58.3%, of the 12 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Kawhi Leonard Points Prop: Over 28.5
- Kawhi Leonard posts 24.0 points, 3.6 assists and 5.9 rebounds per contest.
- Leonard has averaged 24.0 points per game in the 2023-24 season, 4.5 points fewer than Monday’s over/under.
- In 26 games this season with a points prop total, Leonard has gone over the total 11 times.
- On offense, the Pacers are the best team in the NBA (127.4 points per game). But defensively they are second-worst (126.0 points conceded per game).
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