In a contest featuring a pair of the coldest squads in the NBA, the Atlanta Hawks (10-15) are favored by 11 points against the Detroit Pistons (2-24) at State Farm Arena on December 18, 2023. The Hawks are 2-8 in their past 10 games. The Pistons have lost 23 straight, and are 0-10 in their past 10. The over/under for the matchup is set at 246.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Monday’s game.
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Spread: Hawks (-11) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Hawks favored by 11, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (14.0 points). Put your money on the Hawks.
- Atlanta has gone 6-19-0 ATS this season.
- So far this season, Detroit has put together an 8-17-1 record against the spread.
- The Pistons have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 11 points or more this season (in five opportunities).
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Total: Under 246
- The model projects a total (236.9 points) much lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game (246 points). Take the under.
- A total of 10 times so far this season, Atlanta and its opponent have combined to score more than 246 points.
- So far this year, five Detroit’s games have featured over 246 points scored.
- Hawks games have hit the over 15 out of 25 times this season.
- In the Pistons’ 26 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 15 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Hawks (-575)
- Prediction: Hawks 125, Pistons 111
- This season, Atlanta has been favored 11 times and won six, or 54.5%, of those games.
- Detroit has been chosen as underdogs in 24 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (8.3%) in those games.
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Dejounte Murray Points Prop: Over 21.5
- Dejounte Murray posts 20.1 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.7 assists per contest, shooting 44.8% from the field and 36.4% from downtown with 2.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Murray’s 20.1-point scoring average is 1.4 less than Monday’s over/under.
- Murray has hit the over on his points prop total 12 times this season out of 26 games with such a prop.
- The Pistons are the third-worst team in the NBA in points scored (108.3 per game) and 25th in points allowed (120.4).
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Cade Cunningham Points Prop: Over 21.5
- Cade Cunningham is putting up 21.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 7.0 assists per contest. He’s also sinking 42.2% of his shots from the floor and 31.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 triples per contest.
- Cunningham’s 21.4 points per game are 0.1 fewer than Monday’s over/under.
- Cunningham is 12-for-27 at scoring more than his points prop this season.
- Because of the Hawks’ defensive struggles this year, ranking third-worst in the NBA with 122.7 points allowed per game, they’ve had to count on their offense, which ranks fourth-best in the league putting 122.4 points per game.
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