The Cleveland Cavaliers (14-12) host the Houston Rockets (13-10) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, starting at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, December 18, 2023. The Cavaliers are 4-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s point total is set at 214.
If you are aiming to gain an edge on Monday’s game, find out the best bets available in this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).
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Spread: Rockets (+4) to Cover
- While DraftKings has the Cavaliers winning by four, the model has the Rockets taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (4.2 points). Take the Rockets.
- So far this season, Houston has compiled a 15-6-2 record against the spread.
- When playing as at least 4-point underdogs this season, the Rockets have an ATS record of 5-5-1.
- Cleveland is 11-13-2 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 4-point favorites this season, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 4-3-1.
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Total: Over 214
- The model projects a total 4.4 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- In 16 games this season, Cleveland and its opponent have combined for more than 214 points.
- Houston’s games have had over 214 points 10 times this season.
- The Cavaliers and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 13 out of 26 times this season.
- Rockets games have hit the over eight out of 23 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Rockets (+142)
- Prediction: Rockets 110, Cavaliers 109
- This season, Cleveland has won 10 out of the 16 games, or 62.5%, in which it has been favored.
- Houston has been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and has walked away with the win seven times (41.2%) in those games.
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Donovan Mitchell Points Prop: Under 30.5
- Donovan Mitchell puts up 27.3 points, 5.8 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.9 steals (second in NBA) and 0.4 blocks.
- Mitchell’s 27.3 points per game average is 3.2 fewer than Monday’s over/under.
- In 24 games this season with a points prop total, Mitchell has hit the over nine times.
- In 2023-24, the Rockets are fifth-worst in the NBA on offense (109.9 points scored per game) but second-best on defense (106.1 points conceded).
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