The Golden State Warriors (11-14) are favorites, by 5.5 points, versus the Portland Trail Blazers (6-18) on December 17, 2023 at Moda Center. It’s a contest featuring one of the best shooting teams in the NBA versus one of the best defending against the 3-pointer. The Warriors are fourth in the league in treys made per game (14.9) while the Trail Blazers are second in 3’s allowed (10.8). The point total for the matchup is set at 232.5.
Before you place an informed wager on the contest, see the best bets available for Sunday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Trail Blazers (+5.5) to Cover
- The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.0 points of each other.
- Portland has an 11-13-0 record against the spread this year.
- The Trail Blazers have covered the spread eight times this season (8-8 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
- Golden State’s ATS record is 10-14-1 this season.
- The Warriors have been favored by 5.5 points or more seven times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
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Total: Under 232.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 5.8 points highter than the model projection.
- Golden State’s games have finished with more than 232.5 points 12 times so far this year.
- So far this season, six Portland’s games have featured more than 232.5 points scored.
- In the Warriors’ 25 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 15 times.
- The Trail Blazers and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 12 out of 24 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Warriors (-205)
- Prediction: Warriors 116, Trail Blazers 111
- This season, Golden State has won nine out of the 14 games, or 64.3%, in which it has been favored.
- Portland has been victorious in six, or 26.1%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Stephen Curry Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5
- Stephen Curry averages 29.0 points, 4.9 rebounds and 4.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocks.
- He has grabbed 4.9 rebounds per game, 0.4 more than his prop bet for Sunday’s game (4.5).
- He has gone over his rebound total in 13 of 25 games with a prop so far this season.
- In 2023-24, the Trail Blazers are fifth-worst in the league in rebounds (41.2 per game) and 25th in rebounds allowed (45.3).
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Shaedon Sharpe Points Prop: Over 14.5
- Shaedon Sharpe is putting up 17.7 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per contest. He’s also sinking 41.2% of his shots from the field and 35.2% from 3-point range, with 2.1 triples per game.
- The 17.7 points Sharpe scores per game are 3.2 more than his prop total on Sunday.
- Sharpe has had a points prop in 21 games this season, and has exceeded the total nine times.
- With 115.8 points per game on offense, the Warriors are 12th in the NBA. On defense, they allow 115.7 points per contest, which ranks 20th in the league.
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