Bills vs. Cowboys Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Week 15

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 16, 2023

Check out best bets as the Dallas Cowboys (10-3) will aim to continue a five-game winning streak when they visit the Buffalo Bills (7-6) on Sunday, December 17, 2023 at Highmark Stadium.

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Spread: Cowboys (+2) to Cover

  • The data strongly suggests betting on the Cowboys in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Bills favored and the difference between the two is 4.7 points.
  • Dallas has covered the spread nine times in 13 games with a set total.
  • The Cowboys have not covered the spread when an underdog by 2 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
  • Dallas is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall over its last three matchups.
  • Buffalo has gone 5-8-0 ATS this season.
  • The Bills have an ATS record of 4-6 as 2-point favorites or greater.
  • Buffalo is 2-1 against the spread over its last three games, and has a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.

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Total: Under 49

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is just 1.1 points higher than the model projection.
  • Dallas has played in six games this year where they and their opponents combined to score more than 49 points.
  • In the Bills’ 13 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total four times.
  • In 2023, eight Cowboys games have hit the over.

Will this matchup go under the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Cowboys (+114)

  • Prediction:
    Dallas 25 – Buffalo 23
  • Buffalo has gone 6-4 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 60% of those games).
  • Dallas has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.

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Bills and Cowboys Splits

Bills Cowboys
Record 7-6 10-3
At Home 5-2 7-0
On the Road 2-4 3-3
In Conference 4-5 7-3
In Division 2-2 4-1
One Possession Games 3-6 2-1
Indoor 0-0 7-1
Outdoor 7-6 3-2

Interested in more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!

Dak Prescott Passing Yards: Under 277.5 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 3,505 PASS YDS / 269.6 YPG / 69.3% / 28 TD / 6 INT
  • In Cowboys’ Last 5 Games: 1,494 PASS YDS / 298.8 YPG / 68.1% / 15 TD / 1 INT
  • In Cowboys’ Last 3 Games: 901 PASS YDS / 300.3 YPG / 67% / 9 TD / 0 INT

Explore all of Prescott’s props for this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Josh Allen Rushing Yards: Under 35.5 (+100)

  • 2023 Season: 72 CAR / 374 YDS / 28.8 YPG / 10 TD
  • In Bills’ Last 5 Games: 36 CAR / 185 YDS / 37 YPG / 5 TD
  • In Bills’ Last 3 Games: 36 CAR / 185 YDS / 37 YPG / 5 TD
  • Allen’s rushing yards over/under is set at 35.5 yards, compared to his season average of 28.8 yards per game.

See all of Allen’s props for this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards: Under 86.5 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 96 REC / 1,253 YDS / 96.4 YPG / 8 TD
  • In Cowboys’ Last 5 Games: 39 REC / 429 YDS / 85.8 YPG / 5 TD
  • In Cowboys’ Last 3 Games: 22 REC / 240 YDS / 80 YPG / 3 TD

See all of Lamb’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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