Best bets are available as the Washington Commanders (4-9) enter a matchup with the Los Angeles Rams (6-7) on Sunday, December 17, 2023 at SoFi Stadium on a four-game losing streak.
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Spread: Rams (-6.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Rams favored by 6.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (18.2 points). Put your money on the Rams.
- Los Angeles has a 7-5-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Rams are unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 6.5-point favorite or greater this year.
- Los Angeles has covered the spread in its past three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
- Washington has put together a record of 5-7-1 against the spread this year.
- The Commanders have covered the spread once when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
- Washington is winless against the spread in its last three games, and has a 2-1 straight-up record in those contest.
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Total: Under 48.5
- DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this contest, within 0.6 points of each other.
- Washington has played in eight games this year where they and their opponents combined to score more than 48.5 points.
- So far this season, six out of the Rams’ 13 games have gone over the point total.
- In the Commanders’ 13 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total eight times.
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Moneyline Winner: Rams (-270)
- Prediction:
Los Angeles 33 – Washington 15 - Los Angeles has gone 5-1 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 83.3% of those games).
- This season, Washington has been the underdog nine times and won three of those games.
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Rams and Commanders Splits
| Rams | Commanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-7 | 4-9 |
| At Home | 3-3 | 1-5 |
| On the Road | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| In Conference | 4-4 | 2-7 |
| In Division | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| One Possession Games | 2-4 | 4-4 |
| Indoor | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Outdoor | 4-6 | 3-8 |
Want more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards: Under 273.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 3,062 PASS YDS / 255.2 YPG / 60.2% / 19 TD / 9 INT
- In Rams’ Last 5 Games: 992 PASS YDS / 248 YPG / 61.3% / 11 TD / 2 INT
- In Rams’ Last 3 Games: 802 PASS YDS / 267.3 YPG / 63.1% / 10 TD / 1 INT
- Stafford averages 255.2 passing yards per game this season, which is lower than his prop bet total for this matchup of 273.5.
- Stafford has gone over his passing yard total twice in four games with a prop available.
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Kyren Williams Rushing Yards: Under 93.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 159 CAR / 801 YDS / 89 YPG / 7 TD
- In Rams’ Last 5 Games: 62 CAR / 345 YDS / 115 YPG / 1 TD
- In Rams’ Last 3 Games: 62 CAR / 345 YDS / 115 YPG / 1 TD
- Williams’ rushing yards over/under is set at 93.5 yards, compared to his season average of 89 yards per game.
- Williams has hit his rushing yards over in each of his three games played this season.
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Puka Nacua Receiving Yards: Under 68.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 82 REC / 1,113 YDS / 85.6 YPG / 4 TD
- In Rams’ Last 5 Games: 21 REC / 318 YDS / 63.6 YPG / 2 TD
- In Rams’ Last 3 Games: 13 REC / 216 YDS / 72 YPG / 1 TD
- Nacua’s 85.6 receiving yards per game average are 17.1 more than his prop bet total in Sunday’s outing (68.5).
- In two of his five games this season (40.0%), Nacua has gone over on receiving yards prop bets.
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