The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) go on the road to meet the Green Bay Packers (6-7) at Lambeau Field on Sunday, December 17, 2023, and here are our best bets.
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Spread: Buccaneers (+3.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.2 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Tampa Bay has covered the spread eight times over 13 games with a set total.
- The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
- Tampa Bay is 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 overall over its past three games.
- Green Bay has posted a 7-5-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Packers have one win ATS (1-1) as a 3.5-point favorite or greater this season.
- Green Bay has covered the spread twice in its last three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
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Moneyline Winner: Packers (-192)
- Prediction:
Green Bay 22 – Tampa Bay 19 - Green Bay has been the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.
- This season, Tampa Bay has won three out of the nine games in which it has been the underdog.
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Packers and Buccaneers Splits
| Packers | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-7 | 6-7 |
| At Home | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| On the Road | 2-5 | 3-4 |
| In Conference | 4-4 | 5-4 |
| In Division | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| One Possession Games | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Indoor | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Outdoor | 5-6 | 3-5 |
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Baker Mayfield Passing TDs: Under 1.5 (-190)
- 2023 Season: 2,934 PASS YDS / 225.7 YPG / 62.6% / 20 TD / 8 INT
- In Buccaneers’ Last 5 Games: 1,069 PASS YDS / 213.8 YPG / 58.6% / 8 TD / 4 INT
- In Buccaneers’ Last 3 Games: 545 PASS YDS / 181.7 YPG / 54.5% / 5 TD / 2 INT
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Rachaad White Rushing Yards: Under 70.5 (-110)
- 2023 Season: 201 CAR / 745 YDS / 57.3 YPG / 5 TD
- In Buccaneers’ Last 5 Games: 89 CAR / 367 YDS / 73.4 YPG / 2 TD
- In Buccaneers’ Last 3 Games: 89 CAR / 367 YDS / 73.4 YPG / 2 TD
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Mike Evans Receiving Yards: Under 67.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 62 REC / 1,020 YDS / 78.5 YPG / 10 TD
- In Buccaneers’ Last 5 Games: 25 REC / 426 YDS / 85.2 YPG / 5 TD
- In Buccaneers’ Last 3 Games: 14 REC / 240 YDS / 80 YPG / 3 TD
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