The Tennessee Titans (5-8) and the Houston Texans (7-6) play on Sunday, December 17, 2023 at Nissan Stadium in a clash of AFC South opponents, and here are best bets recommendations.
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Spread: Texans (+3) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Texans in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Titans favored and the difference between the two is 3.1 points.
- Houston is 6-7-0 against the spread this year.
- The Texans have been an underdog by 3 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
- Houston has covered the spread once in its last three contests while putting together a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
- Tennessee’s ATS record is 6-7-0 this season.
- The Titans are yet to lose ATS (1-0) as a 3-point favorite or greater this year.
- Tennessee has covered the spread twice in its last three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
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Total: Over 38
- The model predicts a total 3.9 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Houston has played in seven games this season where they combined with their opponents to score more than 38 points.
- Titans games have hit the over five out of 13 times this season.
- In 2023, five Texans games have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Texans (+142)
- Prediction:
Houston 22 – Tennessee 21 - Tennessee has been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.
- Houston has won four of the seven games it has played as an underdog this season.
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Titans and Texans Splits
| Titans | Texans | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-8 | 7-6 |
| At Home | 4-2 | 5-2 |
| On the Road | 1-6 | 2-4 |
| In Conference | 3-6 | 4-4 |
| In Division | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| One Possession Games | 4-5 | 5-3 |
| Indoor | 0-2 | 5-3 |
| Outdoor | 5-6 | 2-3 |
Interested in more information about this game? Take a look at the full preview here!
Will Levis Passing TDs: Under 1.5 (-210)
- 2023 Season: 1,593 PASS YDS / 227.6 YPG / 58.3% / 8 TD / 3 INT
- In Titans’ Last 5 Games: 1,093 PASS YDS / 218.6 YPG / 57.4% / 4 TD / 2 INT
- In Titans’ Last 3 Games: 736 PASS YDS / 245.3 YPG / 57.6% / 2 TD / 1 INT
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Derrick Henry Rushing Yards: Under 68.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 214 CAR / 875 YDS / 67.3 YPG / 10 TD
- In Titans’ Last 5 Games: 77 CAR / 274 YDS / 54.8 YPG / 6 TD
- In Titans’ Last 3 Games: 77 CAR / 274 YDS / 54.8 YPG / 6 TD
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Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards: Under 33.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 40 REC / 455 YDS / 41.4 YPG / 5 TD
- In Texans’ Last 5 Games: 7 REC / 105 YDS / 35 YPG / 1 TD
- In Texans’ Last 3 Games: 1 REC / 2 YDS / 2 YPG / 0 TD
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