Check out best bets for when the Detroit Lions (9-4) and the Denver Broncos (7-6) square off at Ford Field on Saturday, December 16, 2023.
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Spread: Broncos (+5) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Lions taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (4.2 points). Lean towards taking the Broncos.
- Denver has covered the spread four times this season (4-7-2).
- The Broncos have been an underdog by 5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
- Denver is 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall in its past three matchups.
- Detroit has posted a 8-5-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Lions have won twice ATS (2-2) as a 5-point favorite or more this season.
- Detroit is 1-2 against the spread in its past three games, and has a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.
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Total: Under 48.5
- The model’s predicted total (48.1 points) and the DraftKings set total (48.5 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
- Denver has played in four games this season where they and their opponents combined to score more than 48.5 points.
- In the Lions’ 13 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total eight times.
- So far this season, five out of the Broncos’ 13 games with a set over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Lions (-230)
- Prediction:
Detroit 26 – Denver 22 - Detroit has won eight of the 11 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (72.7%).
- This season, Denver has been the underdog six times and won three of those games.
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Lions and Broncos Splits
| Lions | Broncos | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-4 | 7-6 |
| At Home | 4-2 | 4-3 |
| On the Road | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| In Conference | 6-3 | 4-5 |
| In Division | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| One Possession Games | 4-2 | 4-3 |
| Indoor | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Outdoor | 4-2 | 7-5 |
Interested in more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!
Russell Wilson Passing TDs: Under 1.50 (-175)
- 2023 Season: 2,609 PASS YDS / 200.7 YPG / 67.2% / 23 TD / 8 INT
- In Broncos’ Last 5 Games: 996 PASS YDS / 199.2 YPG / 69% / 7 TD / 4 INT
- In Broncos’ Last 3 Games: 544 PASS YDS / 181.3 YPG / 60.5% / 4 TD / 4 INT
- Wilson has a passing touchdown in all 13 games this year, with multiple passing TDs in seven of them.
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Wilson Rushing Yards: Under 25.50 (-120)
- 2023 Season: 69 CAR / 315 YDS / 24.2 YPG / 2 TD
- In Broncos’ Last 5 Games: 38 CAR / 114 YDS / 22.8 YPG / 2 TD
- In Broncos’ Last 3 Games: 38 CAR / 114 YDS / 22.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Saturday’s rushing yards prop bet for Wilson is set at 25.5 yards. That is 1.3 more than his season average of 24.2.
- Wilson hit the over on his rushing yards total set by bookmakers in three of his five opportunities this season (60.0%).
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Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards: Under 28.50 (-130)
- 2023 Season: 45 REC / 288 YDS / 26.2 YPG / 0 TD
- In Lions’ Last 5 Games: 17 REC / 123 YDS / 24.6 YPG / 0 TD
- In Lions’ Last 3 Games: 8 REC / 29 YDS / 9.7 YPG / 0 TD
- Gibbs is averaging 26.2 receiving yards per game, 2.3 less than the over/under of 28.5 set for Saturday’s matchup.
- Gibbs has hit the over on his prop bets for receiving yards two times in five games this year (40.0%).
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