The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) visit the Indianapolis Colts (7-6) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Saturday, December 16, 2023, and best bets information is available.
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Spread: Colts (-1) to Cover
- Both DraftKings and the model expect the Colts to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (3.4) is 2.4 points further in their direction.
- Indianapolis has posted a 8-5-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Colts are yet to lose ATS (4-0) as a 1-point favorite or greater this year.
- Indianapolis is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall over its last three matchups.
- Pittsburgh has covered the spread in a matchup seven times this season (7-6-0).
- The Steelers have covered the spread four times this year (4-3 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
- Pittsburgh has covered the spread once in its past three contests while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
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Total: Over 41.5
- The model’s predicted total (42.5 points) and the DraftKings set total (41.5 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
- Pittsburgh has combined with its opponents to score more than 41.5 points in two games this season.
- Colts games have gone over the point total nine out of 13 times this season.
- Steelers games have hit the over three out of 13 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Colts (-118)
- Prediction:
Indianapolis 23 – Pittsburgh 20 - Indianapolis has yet to lose when playing as the moneyline favorite this season, going 4-0.
- Pittsburgh has won four of the seven games it has played as an underdog this season.
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Colts and Steelers Splits
| Colts | Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-6 | 7-6 |
| At Home | 2-4 | 4-4 |
| On the Road | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| In Conference | 4-4 | 5-4 |
| In Division | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| One Possession Games | 4-2 | 7-2 |
| Indoor | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Outdoor | 3-2 | 7-5 |
Interested in more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!
Gardner Minshew Passing TDs: Under 1.5 (-200)
- 2023 Season: 2,524 PASS YDS / 210.3 YPG / 63.2% / 11 TD / 8 INT
- In Colts’ Last 5 Games: 1,124 PASS YDS / 224.8 YPG / 63.1% / 4 TD / 3 INT
- In Colts’ Last 3 Games: 803 PASS YDS / 267.7 YPG / 62.3% / 3 TD / 2 INT
- Minshew has thrown for a touchdown eight times this season in 12 games played, including multiple TD passes three times.
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Zack Moss Rushing Yards: Under 72.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 173 CAR / 751 YDS / 62.6 YPG / 5 TD
- In Colts’ Last 5 Games: 48 CAR / 162 YDS / 32.4 YPG / 0 TD
- In Colts’ Last 3 Games: 48 CAR / 162 YDS / 32.4 YPG / 0 TD
- Saturday’s rushing yards prop bet for Moss is set at 72.5 yards. That’s 9.9 more than his season average of 62.6.
- Moss went over his rushing yards total once in five games played this season.
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Michael Pittman Jr. Receiving Yards: Under 73.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 95 REC / 984 YDS / 75.7 YPG / 4 TD
- In Colts’ Last 5 Games: 45 REC / 455 YDS / 91 YPG / 1 TD
- In Colts’ Last 3 Games: 29 REC / 307 YDS / 102.3 YPG / 1 TD
- Pittman’s 75.7 receiving yards per game are 2.2 more than his prop bet over/under for Saturday’s game (73.5).
- Pittman has not fallen short of an over/under prop bet for receiving yards in any of his five opportunities with a prop bet this season.
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