The Denver Nuggets (17-9) are five-point favorites in a matchup against with the Oklahoma City Thunder (15-8) on December 16, 2023, when two of the league’s best players — the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic and the Thunder’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — will hit the floor at Ball Arena. The point total is set as 237.5 points for the contest.
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Nuggets vs. Thunder Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -5 | 237.5 |
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Injury Report as of December 16
Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Jamal Murray: Probable (Ankle), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Out (Concussion), Aaron Gordon: Probable (Heel)
Thunder: None
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Thunder (+5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (237.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Stat Rankings
| Nuggets Avg. (Rank) | Thunder Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 114.6 (14th) | Points Scored | 120.5 (5th) |
| 110.5 (6th) | Points Allowed | 113.5 (12th) |
| 44.5 (12th) | Rebounds | 41.1 (26th) |
| 11.4 (10th) | Off. Rebounds | 8.5 (29th) |
| 11.6 (23rd) | 3pt Made | 12.8 (13th) |
| 29.7 (2nd) | Assists | 25.4 (21st) |
| 11.8 (3rd) | Turnovers | 12.1 (4th) |
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Nuggets Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 25 | 27.2 | 12.7 | 9.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Jamal Murray | 12 | 18.3 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 26 | 16.7 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.7 |
| Reggie Jackson | 26 | 13.6 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 |
| Aaron Gordon | 22 | 12.9 | 7 | 3.5 | 1 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Thunder Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 22 | 31 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Jalen Williams | 20 | 17.2 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Chet Holmgren | 23 | 16.9 | 8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Josh Giddey | 23 | 12 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Luguentz Dort | 22 | 10.6 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
Betting Trends
- The Nuggets have 11 wins in 26 games against the spread this year.
- Denver is 6-6-1 as 5-point favorites or more.
- Out of 26 Nuggets games so far this year, 11 have hit the over.
- In seven games this season, Denver and its opponent have combined to score more than 237.5 points.
- The over/under in this game is 237.5 points, 12.4 higher than the average total in Nuggets games this season.
- Against the spread, the Thunder are 15-7-1 this year.
- Oklahoma City is yet to lose ATS (1-0) as a 5-point underdog or more this season.
- This year, 13 of the Thunder’s 23 games have gone over the point total.
- Oklahoma City’s games have gone over 237.5 points on 10 occasions this season.
- The over/under for this game is 3.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Thunder games of 234.0.
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