The Milwaukee Bucks (16-7) play the Indiana Pacers (13-8) on December 13, 2023 at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks are big favorites, by 6.5 points, in a matchup featuring two of the highest-scoring teams in the league — the Bucks are second (122.6 ppg), and the Pacers are first (128.5). The point total in the matchup is 258.5.
If you are looking to make an informed wager on Wednesday’s game, see the best bets available for this matchup, in the article below (based on our computer predictions).
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Spread: Pacers (+6.5) to Cover
- The Bucks are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (6.5 to 3.2 points). Take the Pacers and the points.
- Indiana has gone 13-8-0 ATS this year.
- The Pacers have covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
- Milwaukee has gone 9-13-1 ATS this season.
- The Bucks have covered the spread three times this season (3-6 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
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Total: Under 258.5
- The model projects a total (247.1 points) much lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (258.5 points). Take the under.
- Milwaukee’s games have finished with more than 258.5 points four times so far this year.
- There have been eight Indiana’s games this season with more than 258.5 points scored.
- The Bucks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 15 out of 23 times this season.
- In the Pacers’ 21 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 17 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Bucks (-250)
- Prediction: Bucks 125, Pacers 122
- This season, Milwaukee has won 16 out of the 22 games, or 72.7%, in which it has been favored.
- Indiana has been victorious in seven of the 10 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Damian Lillard Points Prop: Over 26.5
- Damian Lillard posts 24.9 points, 7.1 assists and 4.5 boards per contest.
- Lillard’s 24.9-point scoring average is 1.6 less than Wednesday’s over/under.
- This season, Lillard has scored beyond the points prop number in 10 of 24 games with a set total.
- The Pacers are the best squad in the NBA in points scored (128.5 per game) but second-worst in points conceded (124.8).
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Myles Turner Points Prop: Over 19.5
- The Pacers are receiving 16.9 points, 7.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Myles Turner this year.
- Turner’s 16.9 points per game average is 2.6 fewer than Wednesday’s over/under.
- He is 11-for-22 at scoring more than his points prop total this season.
- The Bucks sport a top-five offense this season, ranking second-best in the league with 122.6 points per game. At the other end of the court, they rank 24th with 119.2 points allowed per contest.
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