The high-powered offense of the Dallas Mavericks (14-8) will face a tough task when they meet the solid defense of the Los Angeles Lakers (14-9) on December 12, 2023 at American Airlines Center. The Lakers are currently favored by four points. The matchup has an over/under of 231.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Tuesday’s game.
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Spread: Mavericks (+4) to Cover
- While DraftKings has the Lakers winning by four, the model has the Mavericks taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (6.5 points). Take the Mavericks.
- Dallas has a 12-10-0 record against the spread this year.
- The Mavericks have been an underdog by 4 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
- Los Angeles’ ATS record is 11-12-0 this season.
- The Lakers have covered the spread five times this season (5-3 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point favorites.
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Total: Under 231
- The DraftKings total for this game, 231 points, and the model’s projected total, 230.9 points, are only 0.1 points apart.
- Los Angeles and its opponent have broken the 231-point mark nine times this year.
- Dallas’ games have had over 231 points 17 times this year.
- Lakers games have hit the over nine out of 23 times this season.
- So far this season, 16 out of the Mavericks’ 22 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (+154)
- Prediction: Mavericks 117, Lakers 114
- This season, Los Angeles has been favored 15 times and won 12, or 80%, of those games.
- Dallas has been victorious in one of the five contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Anthony Davis Rebounds Prop: Over 13.5
- Anthony Davis averages 22.9 points, 3.3 assists and 12.5 rebounds per contest.
- He has collected 12.5 rebounds per game, 1.0 less than his prop bet in Tuesday’s game (13.5).
- This will be his 24th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has hit the over 11 times.
- The Mavericks are 24th in the league in rebounds per game (42.6) and third-worst in rebounds allowed (46.3).
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Luka Doncic Points Prop: Under 33.5
- On a per-game basis, Luka Doncic gets the Mavericks 32.0 points, 8.3 rebounds and 8.5 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
- Tuesday’s prop bet for Doncic is 33.5 points, 1.5 more than his season average.
- Doncic has had a points prop in 23 games this season, and has exceeded the total 11 times.
- The Lakers are averaging 113.1 points per game (18th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 112.0 points per contest (10th-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Luka Doncic and other Mavericks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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