In a game featuring one of the best teams in the NBA defending against the 3-pointer versus one of the sharpest shooting squads, the Phoenix Suns (12-10) are one-point favorites against the Golden State Warriors (10-12) at Footprint Center on December 12, 2023. The Suns are fifth in the league in triples allowed per game (11.3), while the Warriors are fifth in 3’s made (14.7). The matchup has an over/under set at 231 points.
Keep reading for the best bets you can place on Tuesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Warriors (+1) to Cover
- The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.2 points of each other.
- Golden State’s ATS record is 9-12-1 this year.
- The Warriors have been an underdog by 1 point or more 10 times this season, and covered the spread in six of those games.
- Phoenix’s ATS record is 9-12-1 this season.
- The Suns have been favored by 1 point or more 15 times this season, and covered the spread in six of those games.
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Total: Under 231
- In this game, the model projects a total (229.4 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (231 points).
- Phoenix’s games have had more than 231 points scored on seven occasions this season.
- There have been 10 Golden State’s games this season with more than 231 points scored.
- The Suns and their opponents have combined to hit the over 14 out of 22 times this season.
- Warriors games have gone over the point total 12 out of 22 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Suns (-115)
- Prediction: Suns 115, Warriors 114
- This season, Phoenix has won nine out of the 14 games, or 64.3%, in which it has been favored.
- Golden State has come away with two wins in the 10 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jusuf Nurkic Assists Prop: Under 2.5
- Jusuf Nurkic posts 12.2 points, 9.1 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the floor.
- Nurkic has averaged 3.8 assists this season, 1.3 more than his prop bet on Tuesday.
- In 22 games with a set total this season, Nurkic has dished out enough assists to hit the over in 13 of those contests .
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Klay Thompson Rebounds Prop: Under 3.5
- Klay Thompson is averaging 15.8 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He’s draining 40.4% of his shots from the field and 35.4% from 3-point range, with 2.8 treys per contest.
- His per-game rebound average of 3.9 is 0.4 more than his prop bet over/under for Tuesday’s game (3.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in eight of his 23 games with a prop this season.
- The Suns rank third-best in the NBA by allowing just 41.5 rebounds per game. They rank 18th in the league by grabbing 43.9 rebounds per contest.
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