The Tennessee Titans (4-8) visit a streaking Miami Dolphins (9-3) team on Monday, December 11, 2023 at Hard Rock Stadium (with best bets available). The Dolphins have won three straight games.
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Spread: Dolphins (-14) to Cover
- The model projects the Dolphins to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (16.2 to 14).
- So far this season, Miami has compiled an 8-4-0 record against the spread.
- As a 14-point favorite or greater, the Dolphins have one win ATS (1-1) this season.
- Miami is 2-1 against the spread in its last three games, and has a 3-0 straight-up record in those matchups.
- Tennessee have registered a 5-7-0 record against the spread this season.
- Tennessee is 1-2 against the spread and 3-0 overall during its last three games.
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Total: Over 46.5
- DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.1 points of each other.
- Tennessee has played in four games this season where they and their opponents combined to score more than 46.5 points.
- The Dolphins and their opponent have combined to hit the over seven out of 12 times this season.
- So far this year, four out of the Titans’ 12 games with a set over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Dolphins (-950)
- Prediction:
Miami 31 – Tennessee 15 - Miami has been favored on the moneyline nine total times this season. They’ve gone 8-1 in those games.
- This season, Tennessee has won three out of the 10 games in which it has been the underdog.
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Dolphins and Titans Splits
| Dolphins | Titans | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-2 | 4-8 |
| At Home | 5-0 | 4-2 |
| On the Road | 4-2 | 0-6 |
| In Conference | 6-1 | 2-6 |
| In Division | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| One Possession Games | 3-0 | 3-5 |
| Indoor | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Outdoor | 9-2 | 4-6 |
Interested in more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!
Will Levis Passing TDs: Over 0.5 (-260)
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Derrick Henry Rushing Yards: Under 55.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 197 CAR / 841 YDS / 70.1 YPG / 8 TD
- In Titans’ Last 5 Games: 77 CAR / 315 YDS / 63 YPG / 5 TD
- In Titans’ Last 3 Games: 77 CAR / 315 YDS / 63 YPG / 5 TD
- Henry picks up 70.1 rushing yards per game this season, which outpaces Monday’s prop total of 55.5 yards.
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Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards: Under 106.5 (+100)
- 2023 Season: 93 REC / 1,481 YDS / 123.4 YPG / 12 TD
- In Dolphins’ Last 5 Games: 40 REC / 579 YDS / 115.8 YPG / 5 TD
- In Dolphins’ Last 3 Games: 24 REC / 405 YDS / 135 YPG / 4 TD
- Hill is averaging 123.4 receiving yards per game, 16.9 more than his prop bet over/under for Monday’s game (106.5).
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