The Dallas Mavericks (13-8) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (6-15) at FedExForum, starting at 8:00 PM ET on Monday, December 11, 2023. The Mavericks are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The point total in the matchup is 227.
If you are looking to gain an edge on Monday’s game, dig into the best bets available for this matchup, below (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Mavericks favored by 1.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (4.6 points). Put your money on the Mavericks.
- So far this season, Dallas has put together an 11-10-0 record against the spread.
- The Mavericks are 7-6 ATS this season when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
- Memphis is 9-12-0 ATS this season.
- The Grizzlies have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more 12 times this year, and covered the spread in five of those games.
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Total: Over 227
- The model’s predicted total (227.5 points) and the DraftKings set total (227 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
- A total of 16 times so far this season, Dallas and its opponent have combined to score more than 227 points.
- There have been seven Memphis’ games this year with more than 227 points scored.
- In the Mavericks’ 21 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 15 times.
- Grizzlies games have hit the over eight out of 21 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-120)
- Prediction: Mavericks 116, Grizzlies 111
- Dallas has won 11, or 73.3%, of the 15 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Memphis has been chosen as underdogs in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (16.7%) in those games.
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Tim Hardaway Jr. Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 16.9 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game, shooting 42.4% from the floor and 38.4% from beyond the arc with 3.5 made treys per game (fourth in league).
- His rebounding average — 3.4 — is 0.1 lower than his over/under on Monday.
- He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by oddsmakers six times this season in 15 games with that prop available.
- The Grizzlies are 25th in the league in rebounds per game (42.0) and 23rd in rebounds conceded (45.1).
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Santi Aldama Rebounds Prop: Over 6.5
- The Grizzlies are receiving 13.1 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Santi Aldama this season.
- He pulls down 6.3 rebounds per game, 0.2 fewer than his prop bet on Monday.
- Oddsmakers have set a rebound total for him seven times this season, and he has hit the over in three of those games.
- The Mavericks, who rank 23rd in the league with 42.6 rebounds per game, are allowing 46.7 rebounds per contest, which is third-worst in the NBA.
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