The Houston Rockets (10-9) play the San Antonio Spurs (3-18) on December 11, 2023 at Toyota Center. The Spurs are underdogs by a 9.5-point margin as they enter the matchup losers of two in a row with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The matchup’s point total is set at 223.5.
Check out below for the best bets you can make on Monday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Rockets (-9.5) to Cover
- The Rockets are the bet in this matchup. They’re favored by 6.6 more points in the model than DraftKings (16.1 to 9.5).
- Houston is 12-5-2 ATS this season.
- San Antonio’s ATS record is 8-13-0 this season.
- The Spurs are 3-3 ATS this season when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 223.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (225.3 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (223.5 points).
- Five times so far this season, Houston and its opponent have combined for more than 223.5 points.
- San Antonio’s games have finished with over 223.5 points scored 16 times this year.
- The Rockets and their opponents have combined to go over the point total six out of 19 times this season.
- A total of 14 Spurs games this season have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Rockets (-395)
- Prediction: Rockets 121, Spurs 105
- Houston has been listed as the favorite three times this season and has won all of those games.
- San Antonio has been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (10%) in those games.
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Jalen Green Points Prop: Over 20.5
- Jalen Green posts 19.1 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.4 blocks.
- Monday’s over/under for Green is 20.5 points, 1.4 more than his season average.
- He is 9-for-20 at hitting the over on his points prop this season.
- The Spurs are 25th in the NBA in points scored (110.7 per game) and third-worst in points allowed (122.8).
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Victor Wembanyama Points Prop: Under 20.5
- On a per-game basis, Victor Wembanyama gives the Spurs 19.0 points, 10.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 2.7 blocked shots (third in NBA).
- The 20.5-point over/under for Wembanyama on Monday is 1.5 higher than his scoring average.
- Wembanyama is 10-for-22 at hitting the over on his points prop this season.
- The Rockets have been forced to lean on their defense, which ranks second-best in the NBA (106.8 points allowed per game), as they rank fifth-worst in the league on offense with just 110.3 points per contest.
Check out the prop bets available for Victor Wembanyama and other Spurs players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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