The Miami Heat (12-10) hit the court against the Charlotte Hornets (7-13) as 4-point favorites on Monday, December 11, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET on BSSE. The matchup’s point total is 221.
Keep reading to find the best bets you can place on Monday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Heat (-4) to Cover
- The model projects the Heat to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (4.7 to 4).
- So far this season, Miami has compiled a 10-11-1 record against the spread.
- The Heat have been favored by 4 points or more this season five times and failed to cover in all five.
- Charlotte is 7-12-1 against the spread this season.
- The Hornets have been an underdog by 4 points or more 14 times this season, and covered the spread in six of those games.
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Total: Over 221
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (229.3 points) significantly higher than the DraftKings over/under (221 points). Bet on the over.
- A total of 10 times so far this year, Miami and its opponent have combined to score more than 221 points.
- Charlotte’s games have finished with over 221 points scored 16 times this year.
- The Heat and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 10 out of 22 times this season.
- A total of 13 Hornets games this year have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Heat (-175)
- Prediction: Heat 117, Hornets 112
- Miami has entered the game as favorites 12 times this season and won nine, or 75%, of those games.
- Charlotte has been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (35.3%) in those games.
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Kyle Lowry Points Prop: Over 9.5
- Kyle Lowry puts up 9.4 points, 4.1 boards and 4.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks.
- Lowry’s 9.4-point scoring average is 0.1 less than Monday’s over/under.
- Lowry has had 23 chances to hit the over on a point prop this season and came through 10 times.
- The Hornets are 16th in the NBA in points scored (113.4 per game) and fifth-worst in points allowed (121.3).
See all available player props for Kyle Lowry and other Heat players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Mark Williams Rebounds Prop: Under 9.5
- On a per-game basis, Mark Williams gets the Hornets 12.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.2 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
- He has grabbed 9.7 rebounds per game, 0.2 more than his prop bet for Monday’s game (9.5).
- He has grabbed more rebounds than the total set for him by bookmakers eight times this season in his 21 games with a prop.
- The Heat have struggled to pile up rebounds this season, ranking third-worst in the league with 40.7 boards per game. They rank eighth by allowing 43.0 boards per contest.
Check out the prop bets available for Mark Williams and other Hornets players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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