Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – December 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 10, 2023

A matchup featuring one of the hottest NBA teams sees the Minnesota Timberwolves (17-4) face the New Orleans Pelicans (12-11) at Smoothie King Center on December 11, 2023. The Timberwolves have won six in a row, and are 9-1 over their past 10 games, but the Pelicans are 3.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 222 points for this matchup.

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Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Pelicans -3.5 222

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Injury Report as of December 11

Pelicans: Matt Ryan: Out (Elbow), Larry Nance: Out (Rib)

Timberwolves: Jordan McLaughlin: Questionable (Knee), Anthony Edwards: Questionable (Hip), Jaylen Clark: Out (Achilles), Jaden McDaniels: Questionable (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (+3.5)
Total Pick Over (222)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Pelicans Avg. (Rank) Timberwolves Avg. (Rank)
113.5 (15th) Points Scored 113 (18th)
114.2 (19th) Points Allowed 105.2 (1st)
44 (16th) Rebounds 45.9 (6th)
11.1 (12th) Off. Rebounds 9.8 (23rd)
10.8 (27th) 3pt Made 11.7 (21st)
26 (13th) Assists 25.3 (21st)
13.2 (14th) Turnovers 14.1 (22nd)

Best Betting Site for Pelicans vs. Timberwolves

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Pelicans Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Zion Williamson 17 23.5 5.8 4.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
Brandon Ingram 18 23.4 5.2 5.3 0.8 0.2 1.2
CJ McCollum 8 21.1 4.5 5.9 1.6 0.9 2.9
Trey Murphy III 1 18 3 1 1 1 4
Jonas Valančiūnas 21 14 9 2.4 0.4 1.3 0.7

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 19 24.4 5.6 4.8 1.2 0.5 2.4
Karl-Anthony Towns 21 21.9 9 3.1 0.9 0.7 2.1
Rudy Gobert 21 13.5 12.4 1.1 0.6 2.5 0
Naz Reid 21 12.6 4.5 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.6
Mike Conley 21 11.1 3 6.1 1 0.1 2.2

Betting Trends

  • The Pelicans have covered the spread 13 times in 23 games.
  • New Orleans has won twice ATS (2-1) as a 3.5-point favorite or more this year.
  • The Pelicans have seen 10 of their 23 games go over the point total.
  • New Orleans’ games have had more than 222 points scored on 18 occasions this year.
  • The point total average for Pelicans games this season is 227.7, 5.7 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Timberwolves are 11-8-2 against the spread this year.
  • Minnesota has two wins ATS (2-1) as a 3.5-point underdog or greater this year.
  • The Timberwolves have played 21 games this season, and 11 of them have gone over the total.
  • Minnesota’s games have had over 222 points 10 times this year.
  • Timberwolves games average 218.2 total points, 3.8 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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