Heat vs. Hornets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – December 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 10, 2023

The Miami Heat (12-10) visit the Charlotte Hornets (7-13) at Spectrum Center, beginning at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, December 11, 2023. The Hornets are 4-point underdogs in the game. The over/under for the matchup is 222.5 points.

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Heat vs. Hornets Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Heat -4 222.5

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Injury Report as of December 11

Heat: Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Out (Ankle), Bam Adebayo: Out (Hip), Haywood Highsmith: Out (Back)

Hornets: Mark Williams: Doubtful (Back), Frank Ntilikina: Out (Left Tibia), LaMelo Ball: Out (Ankle), Cody Martin: Out (Knee), Kai Jones: Out (Personal), Nick Smith Jr.: Doubtful (Foot)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Heat (-4)
Total Pick Over (222.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Heat vs. Hornets Stat Rankings

Heat Avg. (Rank) Hornets Avg. (Rank)
112.4 (20th) Points Scored 113.4 (16th)
111.5 (9th) Points Allowed 121.3 (26th)
40.7 (28th) Rebounds 43.3 (21st)
9.2 (27th) Off. Rebounds 11.8 (11th)
12.6 (13th) 3pt Made 11.4 (24th)
26.1 (10th) Assists 25.8 (16th)
12.2 (6th) Turnovers 13.8 (20th)

Best Betting Site for Heat vs. Hornets

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Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 18 21.9 5.2 4.1 1.2 0.4 1
Duncan Robinson 20 14.3 2.7 2.9 0.4 0.2 2.9
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 22 12.2 3.6 2.5 1 0.2 1.1
Caleb Martin 12 11.5 4.1 2 0.8 0.3 1.4
Josh Richardson 19 10.7 2.6 3 0.6 0.3 1.4

Hornets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Terry Rozier 11 22.6 3.6 7.2 0.9 0.5 2.1
Miles Bridges 10 20.2 7.2 2.7 1.5 0.3 2.1
Gordon Hayward 19 15.2 4.9 4.5 1.3 0.5 0.9
Brandon Miller 18 14.6 4.2 2.2 0.6 0.6 1.9
P.J. Washington 19 13.9 5.2 2.4 0.7 0.9 2

Betting Trends

  • The Heat’s record against the spread is 10-11-1.
  • Miami doesn’t have a win ATS (0-4-1) as a 4-point favorite or greater this season.
  • The Heat have played 22 games this year, and 10 of them have hit the over.
  • A total of 10 times so far this season, Miami and its opponent have combined to score more than 222.5 points.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 222.5 points, and that’s 1.5 less than the average total in this season’s Heat contests.
  • The Hornets have seven wins in 20 games against the spread this season.
  • Charlotte is 6-7-1 as a 4-point underdog or greater.
  • This season, 13 of the Hornets’ 20 games have hit the over.
  • So far this year, 16 Charlotte’s games have featured more than 222.5 points scored.
  • The average total points scored in Hornets games this year (222.5) is 12.2 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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