Pacers vs. Pistons: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – December 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 10, 2023

The Indiana Pacers (12-8) are strongly favored by seven points against the Detroit Pistons (2-20) on December 11, 2023 at Little Caesars Arena. The contest features one of the NBA’s best shooting squads and one of the best defending against the three-pointer. The Pacers are third in the league in treys made per game (14.8) while the Pistons are third in threes allowed (11). The point total is 248.5 points in the outing.

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Pacers vs. Pistons Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Pacers -7 248.5

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Injury Report as of December 11

Pacers: Jalen Smith: Out (Knee), Aaron Nesmith: Questionable (Hip), Andrew Nembhard: Out (Knee)

Pistons: Monte Morris: Out (Quadricep), Marvin Bagley: Doubtful (Back), Jalen Duren: Out (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pacers (-7)
Total Pick Under (248.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Pacers vs. Pistons Stat Rankings

Pacers Avg. (Rank) Pistons Avg. (Rank)
128.4 (1st) Points Scored 108 (28th)
124.9 (29th) Points Allowed 118.2 (23rd)
40.1 (29th) Rebounds 45 (9th)
9.6 (24th) Off. Rebounds 12 (9th)
14.8 (3rd) 3pt Made 10.2 (28th)
30.2 (1st) Assists 26.1 (10th)
11.9 (3rd) Turnovers 16.5 (29th)

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Pacers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Tyrese Haliburton 16 27 3.6 11.8 1.1 0.7 3.9
Myles Turner 18 16.6 7.8 1.4 0.6 2.1 1.4
Buddy Hield 18 13.2 2.9 2.7 0.7 0.6 2.9
Obi Toppin 18 13.1 3.1 1.3 0.7 0.6 1.2
Bennedict Mathurin 18 13 3.7 1.9 0.6 0.2 1.1

Pistons Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Cade Cunningham 22 22 3.8 7.3 1 0.2 2
Bojan Bogdanovic 3 17.7 3 3.3 1.7 0 2.7
Jaden Ivey 18 11.2 2.7 2.7 0.8 0.4 1
Isaiah Stewart 22 10.7 7.1 1.4 0.3 0.6 1.5
Alec Burks 15 10.5 2.4 1.8 0.3 0.3 1.9

Betting Trends

  • The Pacers have covered the spread 12 times in 20 games.
  • As a 7-point favorite or greater, Indiana has two wins ATS (2-1).
  • There have been 16 Pacers games (out of 20) that went over the total this year.
  • A total of 13 times so far this season, Indiana and its opponent have combined to score more than 248.5 points.
  • The total for this game is 248.5, and that’s 4.8 points fewer than the average total in Pacers games thus far this season.
  • The Pistons’ record against the spread is 8-13-1.
  • As a 7-point underdog or more, Detroit is 6-5-1 against the spread.
  • There have been 12 Pistons games (out of 22) that hit the over this season.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over 248.5 points scored only twice this year.
  • Games involving the Pistons this year have averaged 226.2 points per game, a 22.3-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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