The Buffalo Bills (6-6) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, December 10, 2023, and best bets information is available.
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Spread: Chiefs (-2) to Cover
- The model projects the Chiefs to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (3.6 to 2).
- Kansas City’s ATS record is 7-5-0 this season.
- The Chiefs’ ATS record as 2-point favorites or more is 6-5.
- Kansas City is 1-2 against the spread and 1-2 overall in its past three contests.
- Buffalo has put together a record of 4-8-0 against the spread this year.
- The Bills have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.
- Buffalo is 1-2 against the spread over its past three games, and has a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.
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Total: Under 49.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (43.3 points) marginally lower than the DraftKings over/under (49.5 points).
- Buffalo has played in three games this season where they and their opponents combined to score more than 49.5 points.
- A total of four out of 12 Chiefs games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Bills and their opponent have combined to go over the point total four out of 12 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Chiefs (-125)
- Prediction:
Kansas City 23 – Buffalo 20 - Kansas City is 7-4 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 63.6% of those games).
- Buffalo has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.
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Chiefs and Bills Splits
| Chiefs | Bills | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| At Home | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| On the Road | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| In Conference | 5-1 | 3-5 |
| In Division | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| One Possession Games | 3-3 | 2-6 |
| Indoor | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Outdoor | 6-4 | 6-6 |
Want more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!
Patrick Mahomes II Passing TDs: Under 2.5 (-215)
- 2023 Season: 3,127 PASS YDS / 260.6 YPG / 67.8% / 22 TD / 10 INT
- In Chiefs’ Last 5 Games: 1,110 PASS YDS / 222 YPG / 65.2% / 7 TD / 4 INT
- In Chiefs’ Last 3 Games: 685 PASS YDS / 228.3 YPG / 65.5% / 5 TD / 2 INT
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Mahomes Rushing Yards: Under 30.5 (-120)
- 2023 Season: 57 CAR / 331 YDS / 27.6 YPG / 0 TD
- In Chiefs’ Last 5 Games: 24 CAR / 117 YDS / 23.4 YPG / 0 TD
- In Chiefs’ Last 3 Games: 24 CAR / 117 YDS / 23.4 YPG / 0 TD
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Travis Kelce Receiving Yards: Under 69.5 (-105)
- 2023 Season: 74 REC / 813 YDS / 73.9 YPG / 5 TD
- In Chiefs’ Last 5 Games: 26 REC / 288 YDS / 57.6 YPG / 1 TD
- In Chiefs’ Last 3 Games: 17 REC / 216 YDS / 72 YPG / 1 TD
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